Value bet: Mes Soongoun to win @ 1.94 – our chance 59% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultMes Soongoun to win ✓59% · @1.94
Double chanceMes Soongoun or draw ✓84% · @1.13
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗54% · @1.41
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗72% · @1.29
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗21% · fair 4.65
Mes Soongoun vs Naft Gachsaran: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Monday 9 November the Azadegan League brings Mes Soongoun against Naft Gachsaran. Kick-off: 12:30 WAT. In the table, Mes Soongoun are 5th, upper half, on 15 points after 9 matches; Naft Gachsaran are 8th (upper half) with 12. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Mes Soongoun, last 5: DWWWL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Havadar, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.
Naft Gachsaran, last 5: WWWLD Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Mes Kerman, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.
Head to head
When they last met (3 Jul 2026) it ended Naft Gachsaran 0–1 Mes Soongoun.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Mes Soongoun 1.3 xG, Naft Gachsaran 0.5 xG – a total near 1.8. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 72%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Mes Soongoun 59%, draw 25%, Naft Gachsaran 16%.
Lower-risk option: Mes Soongoun or draw (84%) at 1.13.
GG/NG: NG (54%) at 1.41.
Price worth noting: Mes Soongoun to win @1.94 – the bookmaker implies 52%, our ratings say 59%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (72%, odds 1.29). Most likely score in line with that pick: Mes Soongoun 1–0 Naft Gachsaran. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Mes Soongoun59%fair 1.70 · @1.94
Draw25%fair 3.92 · @2.69
Naft Gachsaran16%fair 6.37 · @4.45
1.81Expected goals
1.32Mes Soongoun xG
0.50Naft Gachsaran xG
46%Both score
28%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–021%
0–016%
2–014%
1–111%
0–18%
2–17%
From our goals model: Mes Soongoun 1.3 – 0.5 Naft Gachsaran expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Mes Soongoun vs Naft Gachsaran?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 72% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.29.
Who will win Mes Soongoun vs Naft Gachsaran?
On our numbers Mes Soongoun have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Naft Gachsaran 16%.
How many goals will there be in Mes Soongoun vs Naft Gachsaran?
We expect about 1.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 28% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Mes Soongoun vs Naft Gachsaran?
Our predicted score is Mes Soongoun 1–0 Naft Gachsaran, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.8 goals in total.
When is Mes Soongoun vs Naft Gachsaran?
Mes Soongoun vs Naft Gachsaran (Azadegan League) kicks off on Monday 9 November 2026 at 12:30 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
