Good pick · fair odds 1.58 · bookmaker 1.43 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.43Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.07 – our chance 53% vs 48% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultNovin Ahvaz to win ✗41% · @2.52
Double chanceEither team to win ✗74% · @1.26
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗53% · @2.07
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓83% · fair 1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 13.15
Novin Ahvaz vs Ario Eslamshahr: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Ario Eslamshahr travel to face Novin Ahvaz on Monday 9 November in the Azadegan League – the ball rolls at 14:15 WAT. In the table, Novin Ahvaz are 9th, lower half, on 12 points after 9 matches; Ario Eslamshahr are 7th (upper half) with 13. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Novin Ahvaz, last 5: WDWDD Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Naft Bandar Abbas, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Ario Eslamshahr, last 5: LLWWL Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to Fard Alborz, at home. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Novin Ahvaz 1.1 xG, Ario Eslamshahr 1.0 xG – a total near 2.1. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 64%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Novin Ahvaz 41%, draw 26%, Ario Eslamshahr 33%.
GG/NG: GG (53%) at 2.07.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.07 – the bookmaker implies 48%, our ratings say 53%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (63%, odds 1.43). Most likely score in line with that pick: Novin Ahvaz 1–1 Ario Eslamshahr. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Novin Ahvaz41%fair 2.46 · @2.52
Draw26%fair 3.81 · @2.63
Ario Eslamshahr33%fair 3.02 · @2.89
2.12Expected goals
1.13Novin Ahvaz xG
0.99Ario Eslamshahr xG
53%Both score
36%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–014%
1–113%
0–012%
0–112%
2–08%
2–18%
From our goals model: Novin Ahvaz 1.1 – 1.0 Ario Eslamshahr expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Novin Ahvaz to win✗
41%
2.46
2.52
Double chance
Either team to win✗
74%
1.36
1.26
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
53%
1.90
2.07 ▲
Draw no bet
Novin Ahvaz (draw no bet)
55%
1.81
–
Asian handicap
Ario Eslamshahr +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
61%
1.64
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
63%
1.58
1.43
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
64%
1.57
1.46
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
83%
1.20
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
94%
1.07
–
First team to score
Novin Ahvaz to score first✗
47%
2.13
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
48%
2.07
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Novin Ahvaz / FT Novin Ahvaz✗
22%
4.55
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
13.15
–
Recent results
Novin Ahvaz – last 6
WDWDDD
2 Nov
@ Naft Bandar Abbas
1–0
W
27 Oct
vs Be'sat Kermanshah
0–0
D
19 Oct
@ Havadar
1–0
W
11 Oct
vs Naft Masjed Soleyman
1–1
D
4 Oct
@ Naft Gachsaran
1–1
D
27 Sep
vs Shahin Bandar Ameri
2–2
D
1.0Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Ario Eslamshahr – last 6
LLWWLW
2 Nov
vs Fard Alborz
0–3
L
27 Oct
@ Pars Jonoubi JAM
0–1
L
20 Oct
vs Naft Bandar Abbas
4–0
W
12 Oct
vs Be'sat Kermanshah
2–0
W
5 Oct
@ Mes Rafsanjan
0–1
L
28 Sep
vs Havadar
2–0
W
1.3Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
0%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Novin Ahvaz and Ario Eslamshahr.
What is the prediction for Novin Ahvaz vs Ario Eslamshahr?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.43.
Who will win Novin Ahvaz vs Ario Eslamshahr?
On our numbers Novin Ahvaz have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Ario Eslamshahr 33%.
How many goals will there be in Novin Ahvaz vs Ario Eslamshahr?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 36% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Novin Ahvaz vs Ario Eslamshahr?
Our predicted score is Novin Ahvaz 1–1 Ario Eslamshahr, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Novin Ahvaz vs Ario Eslamshahr?
Novin Ahvaz vs Ario Eslamshahr (Azadegan League) kicks off on Monday 9 November 2026 at 14:15 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
