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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Gainsborough Trinity v Leamington: numbers & prediction

FA Cup · England
3–0
FT
Gainsborough Trinity 59%Draw 21%Leamington 20% Expected goals 2.11 – 1.15
80%
Betarazi pick

Gainsborough Trinity or draw

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.25 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓

9/10Rating
1.22Odds
1

Value bet: Gainsborough Trinity to win @ 1.80 – our chance 59% vs 56% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Picks by market

ResultGainsborough Trinity to win ✓59% · @1.80
Double chanceGainsborough Trinity or draw ✓80% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗54% · fair 1.85
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓84% · fair 1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.18

Gainsborough Trinity vs Leamington: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Tuesday 22 September the FA Cup brings Gainsborough Trinity against Leamington. Kick-off: 19:45 WAT.

Current form

Gainsborough Trinity, last 5: DLWLW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Leamington, away. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.

Leamington, last 5: DLWWD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Gainsborough Trinity, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.

Head to head

When they last met (19 Sep 2026) it ended Leamington 1–1 Gainsborough Trinity.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Gainsborough Trinity 2.1 xG, Leamington 1.2 xG – a total near 3.3. That is an open game on paper: 61% for three or more goals, 54% for GG.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Gainsborough Trinity 59%, draw 21%, Leamington 20%.
  • Lower-risk option: Gainsborough Trinity or draw (80%) at 1.22.
  • Price worth noting: Gainsborough Trinity to win @1.80 – the bookmaker implies 56%, our ratings say 59%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Gainsborough Trinity or draw (80%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Gainsborough Trinity 2–1 Leamington. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Gainsborough Trinity59%fair 1.69 · @1.80
Draw21%fair 4.80 · @3.50
Leamington20%fair 5.01 · @3.60
3.26Expected goals
2.11Gainsborough Trinity xG
1.15Leamington xG
54%Both score
61%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–110%
1–19%
2–09%
1–08%
3–17%
3–06%

From our goals model: Gainsborough Trinity 2.1 – 1.2 Leamington expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultGainsborough Trinity to win ✓59%1.691.80 ▲
Double chanceGainsborough Trinity or draw ✓80%1.251.22
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗54%1.85–
Draw no betGainsborough Trinity (draw no bet) ✓75%1.34–
Asian handicapLeamington +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✗63%1.57–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓84%1.20–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓61%1.651.62
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓59%1.70–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓77%1.30–
First team to scoreGainsborough Trinity to score first ✓62%1.61–
Half-time resultGainsborough Trinity ahead at half-time ✓44%2.26–
Half-time / full-timeHT Gainsborough Trinity / FT Gainsborough Trinity ✓38%2.64–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%10.18–

Recent results

Gainsborough Trinity – last 6

DLWLWD
19 Sep@ Leamington1–1D
12 Sepvs Avro0–2L
5 Sep@ Sherwood Colliery4–2W
31 Augvs Cleethorpes Town0–3L
28 Aug@ Ashton United2–1W
25 Aug@ Quorn2–2D
1.5Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Leamington – last 6

DLWWDL
19 Sepvs Gainsborough Trinity1–1D
12 Sep@ Bishop's Stortford1–3L
5 Sepvs Ilkeston Town3–1W
1 Sep@ Stourbridge2–0W
29 Augvs Worcester City1–1D
22 Aug@ Bury Town0–3L
1.3Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

19 Sep 2026Leamington v Gainsborough Trinity1–1
Gainsborough Trinity vs Leamington head-to-head page →

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Gainsborough Trinity vs Leamington?

Our pick is Gainsborough Trinity or draw with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.

Who will win Gainsborough Trinity vs Leamington?

On our numbers Gainsborough Trinity have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Leamington 20%.

How many goals will there be in Gainsborough Trinity vs Leamington?

We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Gainsborough Trinity vs Leamington?

Our predicted score is Gainsborough Trinity 2–1 Leamington, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.

When is Gainsborough Trinity vs Leamington?

Gainsborough Trinity vs Leamington (FA Cup) kicks off on Tuesday 22 September 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.