Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗50% · @1.73
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗15% · fair 6.74
Penarol vs Boston River: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Penarol welcome Boston River for a Primera División Apertura fixture on Saturday 26 September (22:30 WAT). In the table, Penarol are 5th, upper half, on 22 points after 13 matches; Boston River are 11th (lower half) with 15.
Current form
Penarol, last 5: DWWWD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Danubio, away. Scoring is no problem – 2.0 a game lately.
Boston River, last 5: WLLWL Their latest outing: 3–2 win over Fenix, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Head to head
When they last met (18 Jul 2026) it ended Penarol 3–0 Boston River. The last 2 head-to-heads: Penarol 2 wins, Boston River 0, draws 0. Those games averaged 2.5 goals.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Penarol 2.0 xG, Boston River 0.6 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 50%, GG 50%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Penarol 69%, draw 22%, Boston River 9%.
GG/NG: NG (50%) at 1.73.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (74%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Penarol 2–0 Boston River. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Penarol69%fair 1.44 · @1.40
Draw22%fair 4.64 · @4.00
Boston River9%fair 10.92 · @6.25
2.60Expected goals
2.00Penarol xG
0.60Boston River xG
50%Both score
50%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–015%
2–015%
3–010%
1–19%
2–19%
0–07%
From our goals model: Penarol 2.0 – 0.6 Boston River expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Penarol vs Boston River?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Penarol vs Boston River?
On our numbers Penarol have a 69% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Boston River 9%.
How many goals will there be in Penarol vs Boston River?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Penarol vs Boston River?
Our predicted score is Penarol 2–0 Boston River, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Penarol vs Boston River?
Penarol vs Boston River (Primera División Apertura) kicks off on Saturday 26 September 2026 at 22:30 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
