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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Atletico Torque v Deportivo Maldonado: numbers & prediction

Primera División Apertura · Uruguay · Estadio Centenario
Atletico Torque 45%Draw 23%Deportivo Maldonado 32% Expected goals 1.50 – 1.20
56%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Fair pick · fair odds 1.78 · bookmaker 1.73 · Lost ✗

4/10Rating
1.73Odds

Picks by market

ResultAtletico Torque to win ✗45% · @2.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗56% · @1.73
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · fair 1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.04

Atletico Torque vs Deportivo Maldonado: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

01:30 WAT, Sunday 27 September: Atletico Torque v Deportivo Maldonado in the Primera División Apertura, played at Estadio Centenario. In the table, Atletico Torque are 2nd, among the top four, on 28 points after 13 matches; Deportivo Maldonado are 4th (among the top four) with 22.

Current form

Atletico Torque, last 5: DWWWL Their latest outing: 3–3 draw with Atenas, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 4. The attack is flying at 2.5 goals per game.

Deportivo Maldonado, last 5: WWLWW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Cerro, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 2.0 goals per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Head to head

When they last met (6 Jun 2026) it ended Atletico Torque 2–4 Deportivo Maldonado. The last 2 head-to-heads: Atletico Torque 0 wins, Deportivo Maldonado 2, draws 0. Those games averaged 3.5 goals and saw GG land 1 time.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Atletico Torque 1.5 xG, Deportivo Maldonado 1.2 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 51%, GG 56%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Atletico Torque 45%, draw 23%, Deportivo Maldonado 32%.
  • GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.73.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (56%, odds 1.73). Most likely score in line with that pick: Atletico Torque 1–1 Deportivo Maldonado. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Atletico Torque45%fair 2.20 · @2.10
Draw23%fair 4.40 · @3.20
Deportivo Maldonado32%fair 3.14 · @3.25
2.70Expected goals
1.50Atletico Torque xG
1.20Deportivo Maldonado xG
56%Both score
51%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%
1–010%
2–19%
0–18%
2–08%
1–27%

From our goals model: Atletico Torque 1.5 – 1.2 Deportivo Maldonado expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultAtletico Torque to win ✗45%2.202.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77%1.291.30
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗56%1.781.73
Draw no betAtletico Torque (draw no bet) ✗59%1.70–
Asian handicapDeportivo Maldonado +1 (Asian handicap) ✓72%1.39–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75%1.33–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗51%1.97–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓71%1.40–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓86%1.16–
First team to scoreAtletico Torque to score first ✗52%1.93–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓42%2.38–
Half-time / full-timeHT Atletico Torque / FT Atletico Torque ✗26%3.84–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%11.04–

Recent results

Atletico Torque – last 6

DWWWLW
24 Sepvs Atenas3–3D
21 Sep@ Central Espanol4–1W
18 Sepvs Cienciano3–0W
14 Sepvs Liverpool Montevideo3–1W
11 Sep@ Cienciano0–2L
4 Sepvs Cerro Largo2–1W
2.5Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Deportivo Maldonado – last 6

WWLWWW
24 Sep@ Cerro2–1W
19 Sepvs Juventud2–0W
13 Sep@ Defensor Sporting0–1L
10 Sepvs Wanderers4–1W
5 Sepvs Wanderers2–0W
2 Sep@ Cerrito2–0W
2.0Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

6 Jun 2026Atletico Torque v Deportivo Maldonado2–4
24 Mar 2026Deportivo Maldonado v Atletico Torque1–0
Atletico Torque vs Deportivo Maldonado head-to-head page →

Primera División Apertura table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Penarol351997+2465
2Deportivo Maldonado351898+2263
3Atletico Torque3519610+1863
4Club Nacional3519412+1161
5Racing Montevideo3516127+1460
6Liverpool Montevideo3516118+1659
7Wanderers3514912-251
8Albion FC3513814+347
9Juventud35101114-641
10Central Espanol3511816-1341
11Defensor Sporting3591214-839
12Cerro Largo3591016-837
13Boston River3510718-1337
14Cerro3510718-2437
15Progreso3510520-1835
16Danubio3561415-1632

More Primera División Apertura predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Atletico Torque vs Deportivo Maldonado?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 56% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.73.

Who will win Atletico Torque vs Deportivo Maldonado?

On our numbers Atletico Torque have a 45% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Deportivo Maldonado 32%.

How many goals will there be in Atletico Torque vs Deportivo Maldonado?

We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Atletico Torque vs Deportivo Maldonado?

Our predicted score is Atletico Torque 1–1 Deportivo Maldonado, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.

When is Atletico Torque vs Deportivo Maldonado?

Atletico Torque vs Deportivo Maldonado (Primera División Apertura) kicks off on Sunday 27 September 2026 at 01:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Centenario.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.