Good pick · fair odds 1.70 · bookmaker 1.75 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.75Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.05 – our chance 53% vs 49% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultJuventud to win ✗59% · @1.75
Double chanceJuventud or draw ✓79% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗53% · @2.05
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78% · fair 1.29
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.74
Juventud vs Cerro: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Juventud welcome Cerro to Estadio Parque Artigas for a Primera División Apertura fixture on Sunday 27 September (19:00 WAT). In the table, Juventud are 8th, upper half, on 18 points after 13 matches; Cerro are 9th (lower half) with 18. They are level on points, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Juventud, last 5: WLWDD Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Albion FC, away. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Cerro, last 5: LLWLW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Deportivo Maldonado, at home. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Head to head
When they last met (25 Mar 2026) it ended Cerro 1–0 Juventud.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Juventud 1.6 xG, Cerro 0.8 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 43%, GG 53%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Juventud 59%, draw 21%, Cerro 21%.
Lower-risk option: Juventud or draw (79%) at 1.17.
GG/NG: GG (53%) at 2.05.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.05 – the bookmaker implies 49%, our ratings say 53%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Juventud to win (59%, odds 1.75 – longer than our fair 1.70, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Juventud 1–0 Cerro. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Juventud59%fair 1.70 · @1.75
Draw21%fair 4.82 · @3.30
Cerro21%fair 4.88 · @4.60
2.41Expected goals
1.61Juventud xG
0.80Cerro xG
53%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–014%
2–012%
1–112%
2–19%
0–09%
0–17%
From our goals model: Juventud 1.6 – 0.8 Cerro expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Juventud to win with a 59% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.
Who will win Juventud vs Cerro?
On our numbers Juventud have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Cerro 21%.
How many goals will there be in Juventud vs Cerro?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Juventud vs Cerro?
Our predicted score is Juventud 1–0 Cerro, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Juventud vs Cerro?
Juventud vs Cerro (Primera División Apertura) kicks off on Sunday 27 September 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Parque Artigas.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
