Sestao River 60%Draw 22%Terrassa 18%Expected goals 2.00 – 1.00
60%
Betarazi pick
Sestao River to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.65 · bookmaker 1.83 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.83Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.30 – our chance 54% vs 43% implied by the price (edge +24%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultSestao River to win ✓60% · @1.83
Double chanceSestao River or draw ✓82% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓54% · @2.30
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · fair 1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.04
Sestao River vs Terrassa: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
18:30 WAT, Wednesday 30 September: Sestao River v Terrassa in the Copa Federacion, played at Estadio Las Llanas.
Current form
Sestao River, last 5: WLWWD Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Atlético Astorga, at home. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Terrassa, last 5: LWDDD Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Ebro, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.3 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 5 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Sestao River, collecting 2.2 points per game to 1.5 for Terrassa.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Sestao River 2.0 xG, Terrassa 1.0 xG – a total near 3.0. That is an open game on paper: 58% for three or more goals, 54% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Sestao River 60%, draw 22%, Terrassa 18%.
Lower-risk option: Sestao River or draw (82%) at 1.18.
GG/NG: GG (54%) at 2.30.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.30 – the bookmaker implies 43%, our ratings say 54%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Sestao River to win (60%, odds 1.83 – longer than our fair 1.65, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Sestao River 2–0 Terrassa. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Sestao River60%fair 1.65 · @1.83
Draw22%fair 4.61 · @3.25
Terrassa18%fair 5.60 · @3.75
3.00Expected goals
2.00Sestao River xG
1.00Terrassa xG
54%Both score
58%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–010%
1–010%
2–110%
1–110%
3–07%
3–17%
From our goals model: Sestao River 2.0 – 1.0 Terrassa expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Sestao River to win✓
60%
1.65
1.83 ▲
Double chance
Sestao River or draw✓
82%
1.22
1.18
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
54%
1.86
2.30 ▲
Draw no bet
Sestao River (draw no bet)✓
77%
1.30
–
Asian handicap
Sestao River -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
61%
1.65
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
58%
1.73
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
65%
1.55
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
82%
1.23
–
First team to score
Sestao River to score first
63%
1.58
–
Half-time result
Sestao River ahead at half-time✗
44%
2.25
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Sestao River / FT Sestao River✗
39%
2.59
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.04
–
Recent results
Sestao River – last 6
WLWWDW
26 Sep
vs Atlético Astorga
2–0
W
20 Sep
@ Compostela
0–2
L
16 Sep
@ Comillas
2–1
W
13 Sep
vs Real Oviedo II
2–0
W
9 Sep
@ Badalona II
1–1
D
6 Sep
@ Racing Santander II
1–0
W
1.3Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Terrassa – last 6
LWDDDW
26 Sep
@ Ebro
0–1
L
20 Sep
@ Arnedo
1–0
W
16 Sep
vs Binéfar
0–0
D
13 Sep
vs Barbastro
0–0
D
9 Sep
@ San Juan
0–0
D
6 Sep
@ Castellón II
1–0
W
0.3Scored / game
0.2Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Sestao River and Terrassa.
What is the prediction for Sestao River vs Terrassa?
Our pick is Sestao River to win with a 60% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.83.
Who will win Sestao River vs Terrassa?
On our numbers Sestao River have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Terrassa 18%.
How many goals will there be in Sestao River vs Terrassa?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sestao River vs Terrassa?
Our predicted score is Sestao River 2–0 Terrassa, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Sestao River vs Terrassa?
Sestao River vs Terrassa (Copa Federacion) kicks off on Wednesday 30 September 2026 at 18:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Las Llanas.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Navalcarnero3
Real Murcia1