Good pick · fair odds 1.63 · bookmaker 1.91 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.91Odds
Picks by market
ResultReal Murcia to win ✗61% · @1.91
Double chanceEither team to win ✓84% · @1.29
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓61% · @1.75
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓68% · fair 1.47
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.47
Navalcarnero vs Real Murcia: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Navalcarnero welcome Real Murcia to Estadio Mariano Gonzalez for a Copa Federacion fixture on Wednesday 30 September (19:00 WAT).
Current form
Navalcarnero, last 5: LWDWD Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Conquense, at home. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Real Murcia, last 5: WDLDW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Europa Fc, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Real Murcia, collecting 1.8 points per game to 1.3 for Navalcarnero.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Navalcarnero 1.3 xG, Real Murcia 2.2 xG – a total near 3.5. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 68% and GG at 61%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Navalcarnero 22%, draw 16%, Real Murcia 61%.
GG/NG: GG (61%) at 1.75.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Real Murcia to win (61%, odds 1.91 – longer than our fair 1.63, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Navalcarnero 1–2 Real Murcia. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Navalcarnero22%fair 4.47 · @3.40
Draw16%fair 6.13 · @3.40
Real Murcia61%fair 1.63 · @1.91
3.50Expected goals
1.26Navalcarnero xG
2.24Real Murcia xG
61%Both score
68%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–210%
1–19%
0–28%
1–37%
0–17%
2–26%
From our goals model: Navalcarnero 1.3 – 2.2 Real Murcia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Real Murcia to win✗
61%
1.63
1.91 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
84%
1.19
1.29 ▲
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
61%
1.63
1.75 ▲
Draw no bet
Real Murcia (draw no bet)✗
73%
1.36
–
Asian handicap
Navalcarnero +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
62%
1.60
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
86%
1.16
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
68%
1.47
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
54%
1.86
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
73%
1.38
–
First team to score
Real Murcia to score first
62%
1.61
–
Half-time result
Real Murcia ahead at half-time✗
45%
2.22
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Real Murcia / FT Real Murcia✗
38%
2.60
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
10%
10.47
–
Recent results
Navalcarnero – last 6
LWDWDL
27 Sep
vs Conquense
1–3
L
23 Sep
@ Saguntino
4–0
W
20 Sep
@ Atlético Tordesillas
2–2
D
13 Sep
vs Real Ávila
2–1
W
9 Sep
@ CF Talavera
0–0
D
6 Sep
@ Real Valladolid II
0–1
L
1.5Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Real Murcia – last 6
WDLDWW
19 Sep
vs Europa Fc
2–1
W
16 Sep
@ Orihuela
1–1
D
13 Sep
@ Atlético Madrid II
0–4
L
9 Sep
@ Mensajero
1–1
D
6 Sep
vs Teruel
4–0
W
29 Aug
@ Hércules
2–1
W
1.7Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Navalcarnero and Real Murcia.
What is the prediction for Navalcarnero vs Real Murcia?
Our pick is Real Murcia to win with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.91.
Who will win Navalcarnero vs Real Murcia?
On our numbers Navalcarnero have a 22% chance of winning, the draw 16% and Real Murcia 61%.
How many goals will there be in Navalcarnero vs Real Murcia?
We expect about 3.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 68% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Navalcarnero vs Real Murcia?
Our predicted score is Navalcarnero 1–2 Real Murcia, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.5 goals in total.
When is Navalcarnero vs Real Murcia?
Navalcarnero vs Real Murcia (Copa Federacion) kicks off on Wednesday 30 September 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Mariano Gonzalez.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Sestao River4
Terrassa1