Value bet: Riadi Salmi to win @ 3.20 – our chance 34% vs 31% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultChabab Ben Guerir to win ✓39% · @2.40
Double chanceEither team to win ✓74% · fair 1.36
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓57% · fair 1.75
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓69% · @1.36
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗15% · fair 6.88
Chabab Ben Guerir vs Riadi Salmi: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
17:00 WAT, Sunday 27 September: Chabab Ben Guerir v Riadi Salmi in the Botola 2. In the table, Chabab Ben Guerir are 12th, lower half, on 7 points after 7 matches; Riadi Salmi are 13th (lower half) with 5. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Chabab Ben Guerir, last 5: DDDDW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Riadi Salmi, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Riadi Salmi, last 5: DWWLD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Chabab Ben Guerir, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Head to head
When they last met (5 Jul 2026) it ended Riadi Salmi 1–1 Chabab Ben Guerir. The last 2 head-to-heads: Chabab Ben Guerir 0 wins, Riadi Salmi 1, draws 1. Those games averaged 3.0 goals and saw GG land 2 times.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Chabab Ben Guerir 1.0 xG, Riadi Salmi 0.9 xG – a total near 2.0. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 69% and a clean sheet for one side more likely than not. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Chabab Ben Guerir 39%, draw 26%, Riadi Salmi 34%.
Price worth noting: Riadi Salmi to win @3.20 – the bookmaker implies 31%, our ratings say 34%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (69%, odds 1.36). Most likely score in line with that pick: Chabab Ben Guerir 1–0 Riadi Salmi. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Chabab Ben Guerir39%fair 2.54 · @2.40
Draw26%fair 3.78 · @2.62
Riadi Salmi34%fair 2.93 · @3.20
1.96Expected goals
1.03Chabab Ben Guerir xG
0.93Riadi Salmi xG
43%Both score
31%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–015%
0–014%
1–113%
0–113%
2–07%
2–17%
From our goals model: Chabab Ben Guerir 1.0 – 0.9 Riadi Salmi expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Chabab Ben Guerir vs Riadi Salmi?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.
Who will win Chabab Ben Guerir vs Riadi Salmi?
On our numbers Chabab Ben Guerir have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Riadi Salmi 34%.
How many goals will there be in Chabab Ben Guerir vs Riadi Salmi?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 31% likely and both teams score 43% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Chabab Ben Guerir vs Riadi Salmi?
Our predicted score is Chabab Ben Guerir 1–0 Riadi Salmi, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is Chabab Ben Guerir vs Riadi Salmi?
Chabab Ben Guerir vs Riadi Salmi (Botola 2) kicks off on Sunday 27 September 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
