Good pick · fair odds 1.51 · bookmaker 1.40 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.40Odds
2
Value bet: Mouloudia Oujda to win @ 3.50 – our chance 41% vs 29% implied by the price (edge +44%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultMouloudia Oujda to win ✗41% · @3.50
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.33
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗59% · fair 1.71
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓85% · fair 1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗14% · fair 7.10
USM Oujda vs Mouloudia Oujda: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
USM Oujda welcome Mouloudia Oujda for a Botola 2 fixture on Sunday 27 September (16:00 WAT). In the table, USM Oujda are 6th, upper half, on 12 points after 7 matches; Mouloudia Oujda are 11th (lower half) with 8.
Current form
USM Oujda, last 5: WDLWL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Widad Témara, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Mouloudia Oujda, last 5: DDDLW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Wydad Fès, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Head to head
When they last met (6 Jun 2026) it ended Mouloudia Oujda 2–1 USM Oujda.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give USM Oujda 1.0 xG, Mouloudia Oujda 1.1 xG – a total near 2.1. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 66% and a clean sheet for one side more likely than not. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – USM Oujda 34%, draw 25%, Mouloudia Oujda 41%.
Price worth noting: Mouloudia Oujda to win @3.50 – the bookmaker implies 29%, our ratings say 41%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (66%, odds 1.40). Most likely score in line with that pick: USM Oujda 0–1 Mouloudia Oujda. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
USM Oujda34%fair 2.94 · @2.10
Draw25%fair 4.03 · @2.80
Mouloudia Oujda41%fair 2.43 · @3.50
2.05Expected goals
0.96USM Oujda xG
1.10Mouloudia Oujda xG
41%Both score
34%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–114%
1–113%
0–013%
1–012%
0–28%
1–27%
From our goals model: USM Oujda 1.0 – 1.1 Mouloudia Oujda expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for USM Oujda vs Mouloudia Oujda?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win USM Oujda vs Mouloudia Oujda?
On our numbers USM Oujda have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Mouloudia Oujda 41%.
How many goals will there be in USM Oujda vs Mouloudia Oujda?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 34% likely and both teams score 41% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for USM Oujda vs Mouloudia Oujda?
Our predicted score is USM Oujda 0–1 Mouloudia Oujda, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is USM Oujda vs Mouloudia Oujda?
USM Oujda vs Mouloudia Oujda (Botola 2) kicks off on Sunday 27 September 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
