Good pick · fair odds 1.58 · bookmaker 1.40 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.40Odds
1
Value bet: Chabab Atl. Khenifra to win @ 1.95 – our chance 56% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultChabab Atl. Khenifra to win ✗56% · @1.95
Double chanceChabab Atl. Khenifra or draw ✓80% · @1.17
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗58% · fair 1.74
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80% · fair 1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗15% · fair 6.46
Chabab Atl. Khenifra vs Chabab Mohammédia: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
16:00 WAT, Sunday 11 October: Chabab Atl. Khenifra v Chabab Mohammédia in the Botola 2. In the table, Chabab Atl. Khenifra are 15th, in the drop zone, on 4 points after 7 matches; Chabab Mohammédia are 16th (in the drop zone) with 2. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Chabab Atl. Khenifra, last 5: LLLDW Their latest outing: 0–4 defeat to Olympique Khouribga, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Chabab Mohammédia, last 5: LLWLL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to USM Oujda, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Head to head
When they last met (7 Jun 2026) it ended Chabab Atl. Khenifra 1–0 Chabab Mohammédia.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Chabab Atl. Khenifra 1.5 xG, Chabab Mohammédia 0.8 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 37%, GG 42%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Chabab Atl. Khenifra 56%, draw 25%, Chabab Mohammédia 20%.
Lower-risk option: Chabab Atl. Khenifra or draw (80%) at 1.17.
Price worth noting: Chabab Atl. Khenifra to win @1.95 – the bookmaker implies 51%, our ratings say 56%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (63%, odds 1.40). Most likely score in line with that pick: Chabab Atl. Khenifra 1–0 Chabab Mohammédia. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Chabab Atl. Khenifra56%fair 1.80 · @1.95
Draw25%fair 4.06 · @2.88
Chabab Mohammédia20%fair 5.04 · @4.10
2.28Expected goals
1.51Chabab Atl. Khenifra xG
0.77Chabab Mohammédia xG
42%Both score
37%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–015%
1–112%
2–012%
0–010%
2–19%
0–18%
From our goals model: Chabab Atl. Khenifra 1.5 – 0.8 Chabab Mohammédia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Chabab Atl. Khenifra to win✗
56%
1.80
1.95 ▲
Double chance
Chabab Atl. Khenifra or draw✓
80%
1.25
1.17
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
58%
1.74
–
Draw no bet
Chabab Atl. Khenifra (draw no bet)
74%
1.36
–
Asian handicap
Chabab Mohammédia +1 (Asian handicap)✓
61%
1.63
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
66%
1.51
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
63%
1.58
1.40
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
80%
1.24
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
92%
1.09
–
First team to score
Chabab Atl. Khenifra to score first
59%
1.68
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
45%
2.20
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Chabab Atl. Khenifra / FT Chabab Atl. Khenifra✗
What is the prediction for Chabab Atl. Khenifra vs Chabab Mohammédia?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win Chabab Atl. Khenifra vs Chabab Mohammédia?
On our numbers Chabab Atl. Khenifra have a 56% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Chabab Mohammédia 20%.
How many goals will there be in Chabab Atl. Khenifra vs Chabab Mohammédia?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 37% likely and both teams score 42% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Chabab Atl. Khenifra vs Chabab Mohammédia?
Our predicted score is Chabab Atl. Khenifra 1–0 Chabab Mohammédia, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Chabab Atl. Khenifra vs Chabab Mohammédia?
Chabab Atl. Khenifra vs Chabab Mohammédia (Botola 2) kicks off on Sunday 11 October 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
