Value bet: Yacoub El Mansour to win @ 1.90 – our chance 62% vs 53% implied by the price (edge +17%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultYacoub El Mansour to win ✓62% · @1.90
Double chanceYacoub El Mansour or draw ✓87% · @1.17
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓68% · fair 1.47
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓70% · @1.44
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓24% · fair 4.15
Yacoub El Mansour vs Riadi Salmi: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
18:00 WAT, Sunday 11 October: Yacoub El Mansour v Riadi Salmi in the Botola 2. In the table, Yacoub El Mansour are 4th, among the top four, on 14 points after 7 matches; Riadi Salmi are 13th (lower half) with 5.
Current form
Yacoub El Mansour, last 5: WWWDL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over KAC Kenitra, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Riadi Salmi, last 5: DLDWW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with El Massira, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Yacoub El Mansour, collecting 2.2 points per game to 1.3 for Riadi Salmi.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Yacoub El Mansour 1.3 xG, Riadi Salmi 0.4 xG – a total near 1.7. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 70% and a clean sheet for one side more likely than not.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Yacoub El Mansour 62%, draw 25%, Riadi Salmi 13%.
Lower-risk option: Yacoub El Mansour or draw (87%) at 1.17.
Price worth noting: Yacoub El Mansour to win @1.90 – the bookmaker implies 53%, our ratings say 62%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (70%, odds 1.44). Most likely score in line with that pick: Yacoub El Mansour 1–0 Riadi Salmi. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Yacoub El Mansour62%fair 1.62 · @1.90
Draw25%fair 3.94 · @2.90
Riadi Salmi13%fair 7.82 · @4.00
1.68Expected goals
1.30Yacoub El Mansour xG
0.38Riadi Salmi xG
32%Both score
30%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–024%
0–019%
2–016%
1–19%
0–17%
3–07%
From our goals model: Yacoub El Mansour 1.3 – 0.4 Riadi Salmi expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Yacoub El Mansour to win✓
62%
1.62
1.90 ▲
Double chance
Yacoub El Mansour or draw✓
87%
1.15
1.17
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
68%
1.47
–
Draw no bet
Yacoub El Mansour (draw no bet)✓
83%
1.21
–
Asian handicap
Riadi Salmi +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
71%
1.41
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
50%
1.99
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
70%
1.42
1.44
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
91%
1.10
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
97%
1.03
–
First team to score
Yacoub El Mansour to score first✓
63%
1.59
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
52%
1.91
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Yacoub El Mansour / FT Yacoub El Mansour✗
35%
2.83
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✓
24%
4.15
–
Recent results
Yacoub El Mansour – last 6
WWWDLW
4 Oct
@ KAC Kenitra
1–0
W
26 Sep
vs Chabab Mohammédia
2–0
W
5 Jul
@ FUS Rabat
1–0
W
2 Jul
vs Difaa EL Jadida
2–2
D
28 Jun
@ Maghreb Fès
1–2
L
25 Jun
vs Raja Casablanca
2–1
W
1.5Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Riadi Salmi – last 6
DLDWWL
4 Oct
vs El Massira
0–0
D
27 Sep
@ Chabab Ben Guerir
0–2
L
5 Jul
vs Chabab Ben Guerir
1–1
D
27 Jun
@ KAC Kenitra
2–1
W
20 Jun
vs USM Oujda
2–0
W
14 Jun
@ Amal Tiznit
1–2
L
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Yacoub El Mansour and Riadi Salmi.
What is the prediction for Yacoub El Mansour vs Riadi Salmi?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 70% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Yacoub El Mansour vs Riadi Salmi?
On our numbers Yacoub El Mansour have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Riadi Salmi 13%.
How many goals will there be in Yacoub El Mansour vs Riadi Salmi?
We expect about 1.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 30% likely and both teams score 32% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Yacoub El Mansour vs Riadi Salmi?
Our predicted score is Yacoub El Mansour 1–0 Riadi Salmi, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.7 goals in total.
When is Yacoub El Mansour vs Riadi Salmi?
Yacoub El Mansour vs Riadi Salmi (Botola 2) kicks off on Sunday 11 October 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
