Atenas 62%Draw 23%San Martin Formosa 14%Expected goals 1.63 – 0.61
62%
Betarazi pick
Atenas to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.60 · bookmaker 1.91 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.91Odds
Picks by market
ResultAtenas to win ✗62% · @1.91
Double chanceAtenas or draw ✗86% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗51% · @2.25
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.57
Atenas vs San Martin Formosa: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
San Martin Formosa travel to face Atenas on Sunday 27 September in the Torneo Federal A, with Estadio 9 de Julio the venue – the ball rolls at 23:30 WAT. In the table, Atenas are 18th, upper half, on 23 points after 16 matches; San Martin Formosa are 4th (among the top four) with 30.
Current form
Atenas, last 5: LWLWD Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Huracan Las Heras, away. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
San Martin Formosa, last 5: DWLWD Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Bartolomé Mitre, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Atenas 1.6 xG, San Martin Formosa 0.6 xG – a total near 2.2. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 38%, GG 51%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Atenas 62%, draw 23%, San Martin Formosa 14%.
Lower-risk option: Atenas or draw (86%) at 1.18.
GG/NG: GG (51%) at 2.25.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Atenas to win (62%, odds 1.91 – longer than our fair 1.60, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Atenas 1–0 San Martin Formosa. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Atenas62%fair 1.60 · @1.91
Draw23%fair 4.28 · @3.00
San Martin Formosa14%fair 7.04 · @3.90
2.24Expected goals
1.63Atenas xG
0.61San Martin Formosa xG
51%Both score
38%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–017%
2–014%
0–011%
1–111%
2–19%
3–08%
From our goals model: Atenas 1.6 – 0.6 San Martin Formosa expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Atenas to win✗
62%
1.60
1.91 ▲
Double chance
Atenas or draw✗
86%
1.17
1.18
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
51%
1.97
2.25 ▲
Draw no bet
Atenas (draw no bet)✗
81%
1.23
–
Asian handicap
Atenas -0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
62%
1.61
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
64%
1.56
1.50
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
62%
1.62
1.50
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
1.17
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
91%
1.10
1.05
First team to score
Atenas to score first✗
65%
1.54
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
45%
2.23
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Atenas / FT Atenas✗
38%
2.62
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.57
–
Recent results
Atenas – last 6
LWLWDW
20 Sep
@ Huracan Las Heras
0–1
L
13 Sep
vs Juventud Antoniana
3–1
W
6 Sep
@ Alvarado
2–3
L
30 Aug
vs Olimpo Bahia Blanca
1–0
W
23 Aug
@ Cipolletti
2–2
D
13 Aug
vs Kimberley Mar del Plata
2–1
W
1.7Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
San Martin Formosa – last 6
DWLWDW
20 Sep
@ Bartolomé Mitre
0–0
D
13 Sep
vs Sarmiento de La Banda
3–0
W
6 Sep
@ Defensores de Belgrano VR
0–1
L
23 Aug
vs 9 de Julio Rafaela
2–1
W
16 Aug
@ Gimnasia Chivilcoy
1–1
D
12 Aug
vs Sportivo Belgrano
2–0
W
1.3Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Atenas and San Martin Formosa.
What is the prediction for Atenas vs San Martin Formosa?
Our pick is Atenas to win with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.91.
Who will win Atenas vs San Martin Formosa?
On our numbers Atenas have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 23% and San Martin Formosa 14%.
How many goals will there be in Atenas vs San Martin Formosa?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 38% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Atenas vs San Martin Formosa?
Our predicted score is Atenas 1–0 San Martin Formosa, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Atenas vs San Martin Formosa?
Atenas vs San Martin Formosa (Torneo Federal A) kicks off on Sunday 27 September 2026 at 23:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio 9 de Julio.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
