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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Circulo Deportivo v Sol de Mayo: numbers & prediction

Torneo Federal A · Argentina · Estadio El Fortin
1–1
FTPens 2–0
Circulo Deportivo 71%Draw 19%Sol de Mayo 10% Expected goals 1.75 – 0.43
78%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.29 · bookmaker 1.28 · Won ✓

9/10Rating
1.28Odds

Picks by market

ResultCirculo Deportivo to win ✗71% · @1.17
Double chanceCirculo Deportivo or draw ✓90% · fair 1.11
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗61% · @1.25
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗20% · fair 5.07

Circulo Deportivo vs Sol de Mayo: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Sol de Mayo travel to face Circulo Deportivo on Sunday 27 September in the Torneo Federal A, with Estadio El Fortin the venue – the ball rolls at 15:00 WAT. In the table, Circulo Deportivo are 37th, in the drop zone, on 13 points after 16 matches; Sol de Mayo are 28th (lower half) with 18.

Current form

Circulo Deportivo, last 5: WLWLL Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Germinal de Rawson, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.

Sol de Mayo, last 5: LLLLL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Costa Brava, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.3 goals a game.

Momentum favours Circulo Deportivo, collecting 1.2 points per game to 0.5 for Sol de Mayo.

Head to head

When they last met (6 Sep 2026) it ended Circulo Deportivo 2–1 Sol de Mayo. The last 2 head-to-heads: Circulo Deportivo 2 wins, Sol de Mayo 0, draws 0. Those games averaged 3.5 goals and saw GG land 2 times.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Circulo Deportivo 1.8 xG, Sol de Mayo 0.4 xG – a total near 2.2. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 58% and a clean sheet for one side more likely than not. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Circulo Deportivo 71%, draw 19%, Sol de Mayo 10%.
  • GG/NG: NG (61%) at 1.25.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (78%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: Circulo Deportivo 1–0 Sol de Mayo. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Circulo Deportivo71%fair 1.40 · @1.17
Draw19%fair 5.32 · @5.25
Sol de Mayo10%fair 10.14 · @19.00
2.18Expected goals
1.75Circulo Deportivo xG
0.43Sol de Mayo xG
39%Both score
42%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–020%
2–017%
0–011%
3–010%
1–19%
2–17%

From our goals model: Circulo Deportivo 1.8 – 0.4 Sol de Mayo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultCirculo Deportivo to win ✗71%1.401.17
Double chanceCirculo Deportivo or draw ✓90%1.11–
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✗61%1.631.25
Draw no betCirculo Deportivo (draw no bet)88%1.14–
Asian handicapCirculo Deportivo -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗70%1.43–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓68%1.471.30
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓58%1.731.80
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78%1.291.28
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓89%1.121.10
First team to scoreCirculo Deportivo to score first ✓71%1.40–
Half-time resultCirculo Deportivo ahead at half-time ✓47%2.11–
Half-time / full-timeHT Circulo Deportivo / FT Circulo Deportivo ✗44%2.25–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗20%5.07–

Recent results

Circulo Deportivo – last 6

WLWLLD
20 Sepvs Germinal de Rawson2–0W
13 Sep@ San Martín Mendoza0–2L
6 Sepvs Sol de Mayo2–1W
30 Aug@ Santamarina1–2L
23 Augvs Costa Brava0–1L
16 Aug@ Juventud Unida Univ.0–0D
0.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Sol de Mayo – last 6

LLLLLW
20 Sep@ Costa Brava0–1L
13 Sepvs Juventud Unida Univ.0–1L
6 Sep@ Circulo Deportivo1–2L
30 Augvs Guillermo Brown0–2L
23 Aug@ Fundacion Amigos0–2L
16 Augvs Germinal de Rawson1–0W
0.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Head to head

6 Sep 2026Circulo Deportivo v Sol de Mayo2–1
12 Jul 2026Circulo Deportivo v Sol de Mayo3–1
Circulo Deportivo vs Sol de Mayo head-to-head page →

Torneo Federal A table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Olimpo Bahia Blanca16871+931
2Douglas Haig18945+731
3Sportivo Belgrano18792+1230
4San Martin Formosa16934+630
5Alvarado16763+1227
6Gimnasia Chivilcoy18765+527
7Defensores de Belgrano VR18765+427
8Kimberley Mar del Plata16682+626
9Bartolomé Mitre16754+626
10Sol de América16826+526
11Juventud Antoniana16745+825
12Cipolletti16745+425
13Sarmiento de La Banda16745+225
149 de Julio Rafaela18747+125
15Sportivo Las Parejas18594-124
16Villa Mitre16583+623
17Argentino Monte Maíz16583+423
18Atenas16655-123
19Huracan Las Heras16655-223
20Atletico Escobar18648-822
21Fundacion Amigos16493+321
22Deportivo Rincon16547-319
23San Martín Mendoza16475-419
24Defensores de Vilelas16619-519
25Independiente De Chivilcoy18477-719
26El Linqueño18549-719
27Costa Brava16466-118
28Sol de Mayo16466-318
29Boca Unidos16538-618
30Germinal de Rawson16466-718
31Juventud Unida Univ.16385017
32Tucuman Central16529-517
33Gimnasia Concepción18459-617
34Guillermo Brown16457-717
35Sarmiento Resistencia16367-1115
36Santamarina16277-813
37Circulo Deportivo16277-813

More Torneo Federal A predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Circulo Deportivo vs Sol de Mayo?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.

Who will win Circulo Deportivo vs Sol de Mayo?

On our numbers Circulo Deportivo have a 71% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Sol de Mayo 10%.

How many goals will there be in Circulo Deportivo vs Sol de Mayo?

We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 39% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Circulo Deportivo vs Sol de Mayo?

Our predicted score is Circulo Deportivo 1–0 Sol de Mayo, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.

When is Circulo Deportivo vs Sol de Mayo?

Circulo Deportivo vs Sol de Mayo (Torneo Federal A) kicks off on Sunday 27 September 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio El Fortin.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.