Gimnasia Chivilcoy v Olimpo Bahia Blanca Prediction & Expected Goals (4 Oct) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultGimnasia Chivilcoy to win ✗46% · @2.10

Double chanceEither team to win ✓74% · @1.36

Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗59% · @1.36

GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗75% · @1.30

Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗19% · fair 5.21

Gimnasia Chivilcoy vs Olimpo Bahia Blanca: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Gimnasia Chivilcoy welcome Olimpo Bahia Blanca to Jose Maria Paz for a Torneo Federal A fixture on Sunday 4 October (21:00 WAT). In the table, Gimnasia Chivilcoy are 6th, upper half, on 27 points after 18 matches; Olimpo Bahia Blanca are 1st (leading the league) with 31.

Current form

Gimnasia Chivilcoy, last 5: LDWWW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Olimpo Bahia Blanca, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.

Olimpo Bahia Blanca, last 5: WDDLW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Gimnasia Chivilcoy, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.

Head to head

When they last met (27 Sep 2026) it ended Olimpo Bahia Blanca 2–1 Gimnasia Chivilcoy.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Gimnasia Chivilcoy 0.9 xG, Olimpo Bahia Blanca 0.6 xG – a total near 1.6. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 75% and a clean sheet for one side more likely than not. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Gimnasia Chivilcoy 46%, draw 26%, Olimpo Bahia Blanca 28%.
GG/NG: NG (59%) at 1.36.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (75%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: Gimnasia Chivilcoy 0–0 Olimpo Bahia Blanca. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Gimnasia Chivilcoy46%fair 2.19 · @2.10

Draw26%fair 3.86 · @2.70

Olimpo Bahia Blanca28%fair 3.51 · @3.70

1.60Expected goals

0.95Gimnasia Chivilcoy xG

0.65Olimpo Bahia Blanca xG

41%Both score

25%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–020%

1–019%

0–113%

1–112%

2–09%

2–16%

From our goals model: Gimnasia Chivilcoy 0.9 – 0.6 Olimpo Bahia Blanca expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Gimnasia Chivilcoy to win ✗	46%	2.19	2.10
Double chance	Either team to win ✓	74%	1.35	1.36
Both teams to score	Not both teams to score ✗	59%	1.69	1.36
Draw no bet	Gimnasia Chivilcoy (draw no bet) ✗	62%	1.62	–
Asian handicap	Olimpo Bahia Blanca +1 (Asian handicap) ✓	79%	1.26	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✓	51%	1.98	1.73
Over/under 2.5 goals	Under 2.5 goals ✗	75%	1.33	1.30
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✓	89%	1.12	1.08
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✓	95%	1.06	1.02
First team to score	Gimnasia Chivilcoy to score first ✗	47%	2.11	–
Half-time result	Level at half-time ✗	56%	1.80	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Draw / FT Draw ✗	27%	3.66	–
Correct score	Correct score 1–0 ✗	19%	5.21	–

Gimnasia Chivilcoy – last 6

LDWWWD

27 Sep	@ Olimpo Bahia Blanca	1–2	L
20 Sep	@ Douglas Haig	0–0	D
6 Sep	@ Bartolomé Mitre	1–0	W
30 Aug	vs Sarmiento de La Banda	1–0	W
23 Aug	@ Defensores de Belgrano VR	1–0	W
16 Aug	vs San Martin Formosa	1–1	D

0.8Scored / game

0.5Conceded / game

33%Both scored

17%Over 2.5

Olimpo Bahia Blanca – last 6

WDDLWD

27 Sep	vs Gimnasia Chivilcoy	2–1	W
20 Sep	@ Alvarado	1–1	D
6 Sep	vs Cipolletti	1–1	D
30 Aug	@ Atenas	0–1	L
23 Aug	vs Kimberley Mar del Plata	1–0	W
16 Aug	@ Argentino Monte Maíz	1–1	D

1.0Scored / game

0.8Conceded / game

67%Both scored

17%Over 2.5

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Olimpo Bahia Blanca	16	8	7	1	+9	31
2	Douglas Haig	18	9	4	5	+7	31
3	Sportivo Belgrano	18	7	9	2	+12	30
4	San Martin Formosa	16	9	3	4	+6	30
5	Alvarado	16	7	6	3	+12	27
6	Gimnasia Chivilcoy	18	7	6	5	+5	27
7	Defensores de Belgrano VR	18	7	6	5	+4	27
8	Kimberley Mar del Plata	16	6	8	2	+6	26
9	Bartolomé Mitre	16	7	5	4	+6	26
10	Sol de América	16	8	2	6	+5	26
11	Juventud Antoniana	16	7	4	5	+8	25
12	Cipolletti	16	7	4	5	+4	25
13	Sarmiento de La Banda	16	7	4	5	+2	25
14	9 de Julio Rafaela	18	7	4	7	+1	25
15	Sportivo Las Parejas	18	5	9	4	-1	24
16	Villa Mitre	16	5	8	3	+6	23
17	Argentino Monte Maíz	16	5	8	3	+4	23
18	Atenas	16	6	5	5	-1	23
19	Huracan Las Heras	16	6	5	5	-2	23
20	Atletico Escobar	18	6	4	8	-8	22
21	Fundacion Amigos	16	4	9	3	+3	21
22	Deportivo Rincon	16	5	4	7	-3	19
23	San Martín Mendoza	16	4	7	5	-4	19
24	Defensores de Vilelas	16	6	1	9	-5	19
25	Independiente De Chivilcoy	18	4	7	7	-7	19
26	El Linqueño	18	5	4	9	-7	19
27	Costa Brava	16	4	6	6	-1	18
28	Sol de Mayo	16	4	6	6	-3	18
29	Boca Unidos	16	5	3	8	-6	18
30	Germinal de Rawson	16	4	6	6	-7	18
31	Juventud Unida Univ.	16	3	8	5	0	17
32	Tucuman Central	16	5	2	9	-5	17
33	Gimnasia Concepción	18	4	5	9	-6	17
34	Guillermo Brown	16	4	5	7	-7	17
35	Sarmiento Resistencia	16	3	6	7	-11	15
36	Santamarina	16	2	7	7	-8	13
37	Circulo Deportivo	16	2	7	7	-8	13

Team

Pts

+12

+12

Defensores de Belgrano VR

Kimberley Mar del Plata

Sarmiento de La Banda

-1

-1

-2

-8

-3

-4

Defensores de Vilelas

-5

Independiente De Chivilcoy

-7

-7

-1

-3

-6

-7

-5

-6

-7

Sarmiento Resistencia

-11

Santamarina

-8

Circulo Deportivo

-8

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Gimnasia Chivilcoy vs Olimpo Bahia Blanca?

Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.

Who will win Gimnasia Chivilcoy vs Olimpo Bahia Blanca?

On our numbers Gimnasia Chivilcoy have a 46% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Olimpo Bahia Blanca 28%.

How many goals will there be in Gimnasia Chivilcoy vs Olimpo Bahia Blanca?

We expect about 1.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 25% likely and both teams score 41% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Gimnasia Chivilcoy vs Olimpo Bahia Blanca?

Our predicted score is Gimnasia Chivilcoy 0–0 Olimpo Bahia Blanca, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.6 goals in total.

When is Gimnasia Chivilcoy vs Olimpo Bahia Blanca?

Gimnasia Chivilcoy vs Olimpo Bahia Blanca (Torneo Federal A) kicks off on Sunday 4 October 2026 at 21:00 (West Africa Time) at Jose Maria Paz.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

Gimnasia Chivilcoy v Olimpo Bahia Blanca: numbers & prediction