San Martin Formosa 70%Draw 21%Atenas 9%Expected goals 1.80 – 0.46
79%
Betarazi pick
Under 3.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.26 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
Picks by market
ResultSan Martin Formosa to win ✗70% · @1.40
Double chanceSan Martin Formosa or draw ✓91% · @1.04
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗55% · @1.44
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓79% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗19% · fair 5.34
San Martin Formosa vs Atenas: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
San Martin Formosa welcome Atenas to Estadio 17 de Octubre for a Torneo Federal A fixture on Sunday 4 October (20:00 WAT). In the table, San Martin Formosa are 4th, among the top four, on 30 points after 16 matches; Atenas are 18th (upper half) with 23.
Current form
San Martin Formosa, last 5: WDWLW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Atenas, away. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Atenas, last 5: LLWLW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to San Martin Formosa, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Momentum favours San Martin Formosa, collecting 1.8 points per game to 1.2 for Atenas.
Head to head
When they last met (27 Sep 2026) it ended Atenas 0–1 San Martin Formosa.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give San Martin Formosa 1.8 xG, Atenas 0.5 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 40%, GG 45%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – San Martin Formosa 70%, draw 21%, Atenas 9%.
GG/NG: NG (55%) at 1.44.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (79%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: San Martin Formosa 1–0 Atenas. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
San Martin Formosa70%fair 1.43 · @1.40
Draw21%fair 4.67 · @3.50
Atenas9%fair 11.65 · @8.50
2.26Expected goals
1.80San Martin Formosa xG
0.46Atenas xG
45%Both score
40%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–019%
2–017%
0–010%
3–010%
1–19%
2–18%
From our goals model: San Martin Formosa 1.8 – 0.5 Atenas expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for San Martin Formosa vs Atenas?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win San Martin Formosa vs Atenas?
On our numbers San Martin Formosa have a 70% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Atenas 9%.
How many goals will there be in San Martin Formosa vs Atenas?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 40% likely and both teams score 45% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for San Martin Formosa vs Atenas?
Our predicted score is San Martin Formosa 1–0 Atenas, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is San Martin Formosa vs Atenas?
San Martin Formosa vs Atenas (Torneo Federal A) kicks off on Sunday 4 October 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio 17 de Octubre.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
