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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Adama Kenema v Sheger Ketema: numbers & prediction

Premier League · Ethiopia
0–0
FT
Adama Kenema 35%Draw 28%Sheger Ketema 37% Expected goals 0.49 – 0.51
58%
Betarazi pick

Not both teams to score

Fair pick · fair odds 1.73 · bookmaker 1.50 · Won ✓

5/10Rating
1.50Odds

Picks by market

ResultSheger Ketema to win ✗37% · @2.62
Double chanceEither team to win ✗72% · @1.44
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓58% · @1.50
GoalsUnder 1.5 goals ✓74% · fair 1.36
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗19% · fair 5.28

Adama Kenema vs Sheger Ketema: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Friday 16 October the Premier League brings Adama Kenema against Sheger Ketema. Kick-off: 16:00 WAT. In the table, Adama Kenema are 10th, lower half, on 6 points after 5 matches; Sheger Ketema are 12th (lower half) with 5. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Adama Kenema, last 5: WWLDW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Mebrat Hayl, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.

Sheger Ketema, last 5: WWWLD Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Ethiopia Bunna, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.

Head to head

When they last met (26 Feb 2026) it ended Adama Kenema 3–3 Sheger Ketema.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Adama Kenema 0.5 xG, Sheger Ketema 0.5 xG – a total near 1.0. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 92% and a clean sheet for one side more likely than not. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Adama Kenema 35%, draw 28%, Sheger Ketema 37%.
  • GG/NG: NG (58%) at 1.50.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Not both teams to score (58%, odds 1.50). Most likely score in line with that pick: Adama Kenema 0–0 Sheger Ketema. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Adama Kenema35%fair 2.85 · @2.90
Draw28%fair 3.61 · @2.45
Sheger Ketema37%fair 2.69 · @2.62
1.00Expected goals
0.49Adama Kenema xG
0.51Sheger Ketema xG
42%Both score
8%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–037%
0–119%
1–018%
1–19%
0–25%
2–04%

From our goals model: Adama Kenema 0.5 – 0.5 Sheger Ketema expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultSheger Ketema to win ✗37%2.692.62
Double chanceEither team to win ✗72%1.381.44
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✓58%1.731.50
Draw no betSheger Ketema (draw no bet)51%1.95–
Asian handicapAdama Kenema +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓72%1.38–
Over/under 1.5 goalsUnder 1.5 goals ✓74%1.36–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓92%1.09–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓98%1.02–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓100%1.00–
First team to scoreNo goal ✓37%2.72–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓68%1.48–
Half-time / full-timeHT Draw / FT Draw ✓42%2.40–
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗19%5.28–

Recent results

Adama Kenema – last 6

WWLDWL
9 Oct@ Mebrat Hayl1–0W
2 Jul@ Awassa Kenema3–2W
28 Junvs Welayta Dicha0–2L
21 Jun@ Mekelle Kenema0–0D
15 Junvs Ethiopia Nigd Bank2–1W
30 May@ Sidama Bunna0–1L
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Sheger Ketema – last 6

WWWLDL
11 Oct@ Ethiopia Bunna1–0W
2 Jul@ Suhul Shire2–0W
28 Junvs Mekelakeya2–0W
20 Jun@ Dire Dawa Kenema0–2L
16 Junvs Welwalo Adigrat Uni0–0D
20 Mayvs Mekelle Kenema0–1L
0.8Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5

Head to head

26 Feb 2026Adama Kenema v Sheger Ketema3–3
Adama Kenema vs Sheger Ketema head-to-head page →

Premier League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Negelle Arsi5320+511
2Mekelakeya5311+310
3Welayta Dicha5221+68
4Ethiopia Nigd Bank522108
5Halaba Ketema5221-48
6Ethiopian Medhin4211+27
7Bahardar4211+27
8Mebrat Hayl521207
9Kedus Giorgis513106
10Adama Kenema513106
11Awassa Kenema412105
12Sheger Ketema5122-15
13Hadiya Hosaena4112-14
14Ethiopia Bunna5113-44
15Fasil Ketema4031-13
16Sidama Bunna2011-11
17Welwalo Adigrat Uni2011-21
18Gamo Chencha4013-41

More Premier League predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Adama Kenema vs Sheger Ketema?

Our pick is Not both teams to score with a 58% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.

Who will win Adama Kenema vs Sheger Ketema?

On our numbers Adama Kenema have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Sheger Ketema 37%.

How many goals will there be in Adama Kenema vs Sheger Ketema?

We expect about 1.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 8% likely and both teams score 42% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Adama Kenema vs Sheger Ketema?

Our predicted score is Adama Kenema 0–0 Sheger Ketema, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.0 goals in total.

When is Adama Kenema vs Sheger Ketema?

Adama Kenema vs Sheger Ketema (Premier League) kicks off on Friday 16 October 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.