Value bet: Ethiopian Medhin to win @ 2.70 – our chance 42% vs 37% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultEthiopian Medhin to win ✗42% · @2.70
Double chanceEither team to win ✗75% · @1.36
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗63% · fair 1.59
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓72% · @1.36
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗17% · fair 5.97
Awassa Kenema vs Ethiopian Medhin: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Awassa Kenema welcome Ethiopian Medhin for a Premier League fixture on Saturday 17 October (16:00 WAT). In the table, Awassa Kenema are 11th, lower half, on 5 points after 4 matches; Ethiopian Medhin are 6th (upper half) with 7. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Awassa Kenema, last 5: LLDDL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Mekelakeya, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Ethiopian Medhin, last 5: WLLLW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Gamo Chencha, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Head to head
When they last met (29 Apr 2026) it ended Ethiopian Medhin 2–1 Awassa Kenema.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Awassa Kenema 0.8 xG, Ethiopian Medhin 0.9 xG – a total near 1.7. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 72% and a clean sheet for one side more likely than not. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Awassa Kenema 33%, draw 25%, Ethiopian Medhin 42%.
Price worth noting: Ethiopian Medhin to win @2.70 – the bookmaker implies 37%, our ratings say 42%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (72%, odds 1.36). Most likely score in line with that pick: Awassa Kenema 0–0 Ethiopian Medhin. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Awassa Kenema33%fair 3.02 · @2.60
Draw25%fair 3.99 · @2.75
Ethiopian Medhin42%fair 2.39 · @2.70
1.73Expected goals
0.79Awassa Kenema xG
0.94Ethiopian Medhin xG
37%Both score
28%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–018%
0–117%
1–014%
1–113%
0–28%
1–26%
From our goals model: Awassa Kenema 0.8 – 0.9 Ethiopian Medhin expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Awassa Kenema vs Ethiopian Medhin?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 72% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.
Who will win Awassa Kenema vs Ethiopian Medhin?
On our numbers Awassa Kenema have a 33% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Ethiopian Medhin 42%.
How many goals will there be in Awassa Kenema vs Ethiopian Medhin?
We expect about 1.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 28% likely and both teams score 37% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Awassa Kenema vs Ethiopian Medhin?
Our predicted score is Awassa Kenema 0–0 Ethiopian Medhin, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.7 goals in total.
When is Awassa Kenema vs Ethiopian Medhin?
Awassa Kenema vs Ethiopian Medhin (Premier League) kicks off on Saturday 17 October 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
