Value bet: Ethiopia Bunna to win @ 3.25 – our chance 36% vs 31% implied by the price (edge +17%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultKedus Giorgis to win ✗39% · @2.20
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.33
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗59% · fair 1.70
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗72% · @1.36
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗16% · fair 6.31
Kedus Giorgis vs Ethiopia Bunna: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Saturday 17 October the Premier League brings Kedus Giorgis against Ethiopia Bunna. Kick-off: 13:00 WAT. In the table, Kedus Giorgis are 9th, upper half, on 6 points after 5 matches; Ethiopia Bunna are 14th (lower half) with 4. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Kedus Giorgis, last 5: DDWWW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Negelle Arsi, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Ethiopia Bunna, last 5: LDWDL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Sheger Ketema, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Kedus Giorgis, collecting 2.0 points per game to 0.8 for Ethiopia Bunna.
Head to head
When they last met (26 Apr 2026) it ended Kedus Giorgis 1–3 Ethiopia Bunna.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Kedus Giorgis 0.9 xG, Ethiopia Bunna 0.8 xG – a total near 1.7. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 72% and a clean sheet for one side more likely than not.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Kedus Giorgis 39%, draw 25%, Ethiopia Bunna 36%.
Price worth noting: Ethiopia Bunna to win @3.25 – the bookmaker implies 31%, our ratings say 36%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (72%, odds 1.36). Most likely score in line with that pick: Kedus Giorgis 0–0 Ethiopia Bunna. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Kedus Giorgis39%fair 2.55 · @2.20
Draw25%fair 4.03 · @2.80
Ethiopia Bunna36%fair 2.78 · @3.25
1.73Expected goals
0.89Kedus Giorgis xG
0.84Ethiopia Bunna xG
41%Both score
28%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–018%
1–016%
0–115%
1–113%
2–07%
0–26%
From our goals model: Kedus Giorgis 0.9 – 0.8 Ethiopia Bunna expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Kedus Giorgis vs Ethiopia Bunna?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 72% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.
Who will win Kedus Giorgis vs Ethiopia Bunna?
On our numbers Kedus Giorgis have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Ethiopia Bunna 36%.
How many goals will there be in Kedus Giorgis vs Ethiopia Bunna?
We expect about 1.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 28% likely and both teams score 41% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Kedus Giorgis vs Ethiopia Bunna?
Our predicted score is Kedus Giorgis 0–0 Ethiopia Bunna, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.7 goals in total.
When is Kedus Giorgis vs Ethiopia Bunna?
Kedus Giorgis vs Ethiopia Bunna (Premier League) kicks off on Saturday 17 October 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
