Value bet: Ethiopia Nigd Bank to win @ 2.62 – our chance 44% vs 38% implied by the price (edge +15%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultEthiopia Nigd Bank to win ✗44% · @2.62
Double chanceEither team to win ✗72% · @1.44
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗58% · @1.44
GoalsUnder 1.5 goals ✗64% · fair 1.55
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗21% · fair 4.67
Awassa Kenema vs Ethiopia Nigd Bank: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
13:00 WAT, Thursday 22 October: Awassa Kenema v Ethiopia Nigd Bank in the Premier League. In the table, Awassa Kenema are 11th, lower half, on 5 points after 4 matches; Ethiopia Nigd Bank are 4th (among the top four) with 8. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Awassa Kenema, last 5: DLLDD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Ethiopian Medhin, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Ethiopia Nigd Bank, last 5: WWDLD Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Mekelakeya, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 2 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Ethiopia Nigd Bank, collecting 1.3 points per game to 0.5 for Awassa Kenema.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Awassa Kenema 0.5 xG, Ethiopia Nigd Bank 0.7 xG – a total near 1.3. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 87% and a clean sheet for one side more likely than not.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Awassa Kenema 29%, draw 28%, Ethiopia Nigd Bank 44%.
GG/NG: NG (58%) at 1.44.
Price worth noting: Ethiopia Nigd Bank to win @2.62 – the bookmaker implies 38%, our ratings say 44%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Not both teams to score (58%, odds 1.44). Most likely score in line with that pick: Awassa Kenema 0–0 Ethiopia Nigd Bank. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Awassa Kenema29%fair 3.49 · @2.90
Draw28%fair 3.63 · @2.50
Ethiopia Nigd Bank44%fair 2.28 · @2.62
1.25Expected goals
0.50Awassa Kenema xG
0.75Ethiopia Nigd Bank xG
42%Both score
13%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–029%
0–121%
1–014%
1–111%
0–28%
1–24%
From our goals model: Awassa Kenema 0.5 – 0.7 Ethiopia Nigd Bank expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Ethiopia Nigd Bank to win✗
44%
2.28
2.62 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
72%
1.38
1.44
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
58%
1.73
1.44
Draw no bet
Ethiopia Nigd Bank (draw no bet)
61%
1.65
–
Asian handicap
Awassa Kenema +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
63%
1.60
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Under 1.5 goals✗
64%
1.55
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
87%
1.15
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
96%
1.04
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
99%
1.01
–
First team to score
Ethiopia Nigd Bank to score first✗
43%
2.35
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
62%
1.61
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✗
35%
2.90
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
21%
4.67
–
Recent results
Awassa Kenema – last 6
DLLDDL
17 Oct
vs Ethiopian Medhin
1–1
D
11 Oct
vs Mekelakeya
0–1
L
2 Jul
vs Adama Kenema
2–3
L
28 Jun
@ Mebrat Hayl
1–1
D
21 Jun
vs Bahardar
0–0
D
15 Jun
@ Negelle Arsi
1–2
L
0.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Ethiopia Nigd Bank – last 6
WWDLDL
18 Oct
@ Mekelakeya
1–0
W
11 Oct
@ Sidama Bunna
1–0
W
3 Jul
vs Bahardar
2–2
D
26 Jun
@ Negelle Arsi
0–2
L
20 Jun
vs Ethiopia Bunna
0–0
D
15 Jun
@ Adama Kenema
1–2
L
0.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Awassa Kenema and Ethiopia Nigd Bank.
What is the prediction for Awassa Kenema vs Ethiopia Nigd Bank?
Our pick is Not both teams to score with a 58% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Awassa Kenema vs Ethiopia Nigd Bank?
On our numbers Awassa Kenema have a 29% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Ethiopia Nigd Bank 44%.
How many goals will there be in Awassa Kenema vs Ethiopia Nigd Bank?
We expect about 1.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 13% likely and both teams score 42% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Awassa Kenema vs Ethiopia Nigd Bank?
Our predicted score is Awassa Kenema 0–0 Ethiopia Nigd Bank, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.3 goals in total.
When is Awassa Kenema vs Ethiopia Nigd Bank?
Awassa Kenema vs Ethiopia Nigd Bank (Premier League) kicks off on Thursday 22 October 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
