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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Welayta Dicha v Bahardar: numbers & prediction

Premier League · Ethiopia
1–3
FT
Welayta Dicha 35%Draw 28%Bahardar 37% Expected goals 0.48 – 0.52
58%
Betarazi pick

Not both teams to score

Good pick · fair odds 1.71 · bookmaker 1.50 · Lost ✗

5/10Rating
1.50Odds

Picks by market

ResultBahardar to win ✓37% · @2.80
Double chanceEither team to win ✓72% · @1.44
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗58% · @1.50
GoalsUnder 1.5 goals ✗74% · fair 1.36
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗19% · fair 5.22

Welayta Dicha vs Bahardar: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Welayta Dicha welcome Bahardar for a Premier League fixture on Thursday 22 October (14:00 WAT). In the table, Welayta Dicha are 3rd, among the top four, on 8 points after 5 matches; Bahardar are 7th (upper half) with 7. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Welayta Dicha, last 5: DDDWL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Hadiya Hosaena, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.

Bahardar, last 5: LWDLD Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Halaba Ketema, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.

Momentum favours Welayta Dicha, collecting 1.5 points per game to 0.8 for Bahardar.

Head to head

When they last met (16 Jun 2026) it ended Bahardar 0–2 Welayta Dicha.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Welayta Dicha 0.5 xG, Bahardar 0.5 xG – a total near 1.0. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 92% and a clean sheet for one side more likely than not. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Welayta Dicha 35%, draw 28%, Bahardar 37%.
  • GG/NG: NG (58%) at 1.50.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Not both teams to score (58%, odds 1.50). Most likely score in line with that pick: Welayta Dicha 0–0 Bahardar. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Welayta Dicha35%fair 2.89 · @2.80
Draw28%fair 3.56 · @2.40
Bahardar37%fair 2.68 · @2.80
1.00Expected goals
0.48Welayta Dicha xG
0.52Bahardar xG
42%Both score
8%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–037%
0–119%
1–018%
1–19%
0–25%
2–04%

From our goals model: Welayta Dicha 0.5 – 0.5 Bahardar expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultBahardar to win ✓37%2.682.80
Double chanceEither team to win ✓72%1.391.44
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✗58%1.711.50
Draw no betBahardar (draw no bet) ✓52%1.93–
Asian handicapWelayta Dicha +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗72%1.39–
Over/under 1.5 goalsUnder 1.5 goals ✗74%1.36–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗92%1.09–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗98%1.02–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓100%1.00–
First team to scoreNo goal ✗37%2.72–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗68%1.48–
Half-time / full-timeHT Draw / FT Draw ✗42%2.40–
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗19%5.22–

Recent results

Welayta Dicha – last 6

DDDWLW
18 Oct@ Hadiya Hosaena1–1D
10 Octvs Fasil Ketema0–0D
3 Julvs Ethiopia Bunna0–0D
28 Jun@ Adama Kenema2–0W
22 Junvs Mebrat Hayl1–2L
16 Jun@ Bahardar2–0W
1.0Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Bahardar – last 6

LWDLDL
16 Oct@ Halaba Ketema0–1L
11 Oct@ Hadiya Hosaena1–0W
3 Jul@ Ethiopia Nigd Bank2–2D
28 Junvs Sidama Bunna0–1L
21 Jun@ Awassa Kenema0–0D
16 Junvs Welayta Dicha0–2L
0.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Head to head

16 Jun 2026Bahardar v Welayta Dicha0–2
Welayta Dicha vs Bahardar head-to-head page →

Premier League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Negelle Arsi5320+511
2Mekelakeya5311+310
3Welayta Dicha5221+68
4Ethiopia Nigd Bank522108
5Halaba Ketema5221-48
6Ethiopian Medhin4211+27
7Bahardar4211+27
8Mebrat Hayl521207
9Kedus Giorgis513106
10Adama Kenema513106
11Awassa Kenema412105
12Sheger Ketema5122-15
13Hadiya Hosaena4112-14
14Ethiopia Bunna5113-44
15Fasil Ketema4031-13
16Sidama Bunna2011-11
17Welwalo Adigrat Uni2011-21
18Gamo Chencha4013-41

More Premier League predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Welayta Dicha vs Bahardar?

Our pick is Not both teams to score with a 58% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.

Who will win Welayta Dicha vs Bahardar?

On our numbers Welayta Dicha have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Bahardar 37%.

How many goals will there be in Welayta Dicha vs Bahardar?

We expect about 1.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 8% likely and both teams score 42% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Welayta Dicha vs Bahardar?

Our predicted score is Welayta Dicha 0–0 Bahardar, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.0 goals in total.

When is Welayta Dicha vs Bahardar?

Welayta Dicha vs Bahardar (Premier League) kicks off on Thursday 22 October 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.