Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓54% · @1.50
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓70% · @1.40
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓22% · fair 4.54
Negelle Arsi vs Adama Kenema: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Adama Kenema travel to face Negelle Arsi on Monday 26 October in the Premier League – the ball rolls at 13:00 WAT. In the table, Negelle Arsi are 1st, leading the league, on 11 points after 5 matches; Adama Kenema are 10th (lower half) with 6.
Current form
Negelle Arsi, last 5: WDDLW Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Ethiopia Bunna, away. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Adama Kenema, last 5: DDWWL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Kedus Giorgis, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Head to head
When they last met (5 Apr 2026) it ended Adama Kenema 1–2 Negelle Arsi.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Negelle Arsi 1.2 xG, Adama Kenema 0.5 xG – a total near 1.7. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 70%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Negelle Arsi 57%, draw 26%, Adama Kenema 17%.
GG/NG: NG (54%) at 1.50.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (70%, odds 1.40). Most likely score in line with that pick: Negelle Arsi 1–0 Adama Kenema. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Negelle Arsi57%fair 1.75 · @1.73
Draw26%fair 3.90 · @3.08
Adama Kenema17%fair 5.86 · @4.55
1.72Expected goals
1.23Negelle Arsi xG
0.49Adama Kenema xG
46%Both score
30%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–022%
0–018%
2–014%
1–111%
0–19%
2–17%
From our goals model: Negelle Arsi 1.2 – 0.5 Adama Kenema expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Negelle Arsi vs Adama Kenema?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 70% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win Negelle Arsi vs Adama Kenema?
On our numbers Negelle Arsi have a 57% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Adama Kenema 17%.
How many goals will there be in Negelle Arsi vs Adama Kenema?
We expect about 1.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 30% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Negelle Arsi vs Adama Kenema?
Our predicted score is Negelle Arsi 1–0 Adama Kenema, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.7 goals in total.
When is Negelle Arsi vs Adama Kenema?
Negelle Arsi vs Adama Kenema (Premier League) kicks off on Monday 26 October 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
