Value bet: Kedus Giorgis to win @ 1.80 – our chance 62% vs 56% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultKedus Giorgis to win ✗62% · @1.80
Double chanceKedus Giorgis or draw ✓84% · fair 1.18
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗62% · fair 1.61
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗69% · @1.44
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗22% · fair 4.51
Kedus Giorgis vs Sheger Ketema: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Sheger Ketema travel to face Kedus Giorgis on Monday 26 October in the Premier League – the ball rolls at 13:00 WAT. In the table, Kedus Giorgis are 9th, upper half, on 6 points after 5 matches; Sheger Ketema are 12th (lower half) with 5. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Kedus Giorgis, last 5: DLDDW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Adama Kenema, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 5. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.
Sheger Ketema, last 5: LDWWW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Mebrat Hayl, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 2 lost from 5. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Head to head
When they last met (8 Mar 2026) it ended Sheger Ketema 1–0 Kedus Giorgis.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Kedus Giorgis 1.4 xG, Sheger Ketema 0.5 xG – a total near 1.8. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 69% and a clean sheet for one side more likely than not. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Kedus Giorgis 62%, draw 22%, Sheger Ketema 16%.
Price worth noting: Kedus Giorgis to win @1.80 – the bookmaker implies 56%, our ratings say 62%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (69%, odds 1.44). Most likely score in line with that pick: Kedus Giorgis 1–0 Sheger Ketema. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Kedus Giorgis62%fair 1.60 · @1.80
Draw22%fair 4.53 · @2.90
Sheger Ketema16%fair 6.45 · @4.50
1.81Expected goals
1.35Kedus Giorgis xG
0.46Sheger Ketema xG
38%Both score
31%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–022%
0–016%
2–015%
1–110%
0–17%
2–17%
From our goals model: Kedus Giorgis 1.4 – 0.5 Sheger Ketema expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Kedus Giorgis vs Sheger Ketema?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Kedus Giorgis vs Sheger Ketema?
On our numbers Kedus Giorgis have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Sheger Ketema 16%.
How many goals will there be in Kedus Giorgis vs Sheger Ketema?
We expect about 1.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 31% likely and both teams score 38% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Kedus Giorgis vs Sheger Ketema?
Our predicted score is Kedus Giorgis 1–0 Sheger Ketema, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.8 goals in total.
When is Kedus Giorgis vs Sheger Ketema?
Kedus Giorgis vs Sheger Ketema (Premier League) kicks off on Monday 26 October 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
