Good pick · fair odds 1.62 · bookmaker 1.85 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.85Odds
Picks by market
ResultChina PR U23 to win ✓62% · @1.85
Double chanceEither team to win ✓84% · @1.25
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓52% · fair 1.92
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74% · fair 1.36
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗13% · fair 7.74
China PR U23 vs Thailand U23: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
07:00 WAT, Saturday 26 September: China PR U23 v Thailand U23 in the Asian Games, played at Toyota Stadium. In the table, China PR U23 are 1st on 5 points after 3 matches; Thailand U23 are 2nd with 6. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
China PR U23, last 5: DDWWW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with UAE U23, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 4 won, 0 lost from 5. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 0.2 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 5 clean sheets in that run.
Thailand U23, last 5: LWWLL Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to Japan U23, away. 2.2 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Momentum favours China PR U23, collecting 2.3 points per game to 1.5 for Thailand U23.
Head to head
When they last met (25 Mar 2026) it ended China PR U23 2–2 Thailand U23.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give China PR U23 1.7 xG, Thailand U23 0.9 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 45%, GG 48%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – China PR U23 62%, draw 16%, Thailand U23 22%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was China PR U23 to win (62%, odds 1.85 – longer than our fair 1.62, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: China PR U23 1–0 Thailand U23. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
China PR U2362%fair 1.62 · @1.85
Draw16%fair 6.27 · @3.70
Thailand U2322%fair 4.46 · @3.40
2.59Expected goals
1.73China PR U23 xG
0.87Thailand U23 xG
48%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–013%
1–111%
2–011%
2–110%
0–07%
0–16%
From our goals model: China PR U23 1.7 – 0.9 Thailand U23 expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for China PR U23 vs Thailand U23?
Our pick is China PR U23 to win with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.85.
Who will win China PR U23 vs Thailand U23?
On our numbers China PR U23 have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 16% and Thailand U23 22%.
How many goals will there be in China PR U23 vs Thailand U23?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for China PR U23 vs Thailand U23?
Our predicted score is China PR U23 1–0 Thailand U23, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is China PR U23 vs Thailand U23?
China PR U23 vs Thailand U23 (Asian Games) kicks off on Saturday 26 September 2026 at 07:00 (West Africa Time) at Toyota Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Korea DPR U230