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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Japan U23 v Korea DPR U23: numbers & prediction

Asian Games · Asia · Toyota Stadium
1–0
FT
Japan U23 74%Draw 19%Korea DPR U23 7% Expected goals 2.51 – 0.73
62%
Betarazi pick

Over 2.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.61 · bookmaker 1.53 · Lost ✗

5/10Rating
1.53Odds

Picks by market

ResultJapan U23 to win ✓74% · @1.18
Double chanceJapan U23 or draw ✓93% · @1.08
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓54% · fair 1.85
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗83% · fair 1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–0 ✗10% · fair 9.74

Japan U23 vs Korea DPR U23: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Saturday 26 September the Asian Games brings Japan U23 against Korea DPR U23 at Toyota Stadium. Kick-off: 11:30 WAT. In the table, Japan U23 are 1st on 9 points after 3 matches; Korea DPR U23 are 2nd with 4.

Current form

Japan U23, last 3: WWW Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Thailand U23, at home. The attack is flying at 4.0 goals per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Korea DPR U23, last 4: WDLD Their latest outing: 4–1 win over Iran U23, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Japan U23, collecting 3.0 points per game to 1.3 for Korea DPR U23.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Japan U23 2.5 xG, Korea DPR U23 0.7 xG – a total near 3.2. That is an open game on paper: 62% for three or more goals, 46% for GG.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Japan U23 74%, draw 19%, Korea DPR U23 7%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (62%, odds 1.53). Most likely score in line with that pick: Japan U23 3–0 Korea DPR U23. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Japan U2374%fair 1.35 · @1.18
Draw19%fair 5.14 · @5.50
Korea DPR U237%fair 14.99 · @12.00
3.24Expected goals
2.51Japan U23 xG
0.73Korea DPR U23 xG
46%Both score
62%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–012%
3–010%
1–010%
2–19%
3–18%
1–17%

From our goals model: Japan U23 2.5 – 0.7 Korea DPR U23 expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultJapan U23 to win ✓74%1.351.18
Double chanceJapan U23 or draw ✓93%1.071.08
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✓54%1.85–
Draw no betJapan U23 (draw no bet) ✓92%1.09–
Asian handicapJapan U23 -1 (Asian handicap)69%1.44–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗83%1.20–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗62%1.611.53
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓59%1.69–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓77%1.29–
First team to scoreJapan U23 to score first ✓74%1.35–
Half-time resultJapan U23 ahead at half-time ✓56%1.79–
Half-time / full-timeHT Japan U23 / FT Japan U23 ✓52%1.92–
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–0 ✗10%9.74–

Recent results

Japan U23 – last 3

WWW
23 Sepvs Thailand U233–0W
20 Sep@ Kyrgyz Republic U237–0W
16 Sepvs Hong Kong U232–0W
4.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Korea DPR U23 – last 4

WDLD
23 Sep@ Iran U234–1W
20 Sepvs UAE U230–0D
16 Sep@ China PR U231–2L
28 Mar@ China PR U231–1D
1.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
75%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Japan U23 and Korea DPR U23.

Japan U23 vs Korea DPR U23 head-to-head page →

Asian Games table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Japan U233300+129
2Thailand U233201+26
3Kyrgyz Republic U233102-43
4Hong Kong U233003-100

More Asian Games predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Japan U23 vs Korea DPR U23?

Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.53.

Who will win Japan U23 vs Korea DPR U23?

On our numbers Japan U23 have a 74% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Korea DPR U23 7%.

How many goals will there be in Japan U23 vs Korea DPR U23?

We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 62% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Japan U23 vs Korea DPR U23?

Our predicted score is Japan U23 3–0 Korea DPR U23, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.

When is Japan U23 vs Korea DPR U23?

Japan U23 vs Korea DPR U23 (Asian Games) kicks off on Saturday 26 September 2026 at 11:30 (West Africa Time) at Toyota Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.