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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Miramar v Paysandu: numbers & prediction

Segunda División · Uruguay · Parque Palermo

Miramar

WLDWW
1–0
FT
Miramar 37%Draw 23%Paysandu 40% Expected goals 1.15 – 1.20
50%
Betarazi pick

Not both teams to score

Fair pick · fair odds 1.98 · bookmaker 1.85 · Won ✓

3/10Rating
1.85Odds

Picks by market

ResultPaysandu to win ✗40% · @2.45
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.30
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓50% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓79% · fair 1.27
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗11% · fair 8.73

Miramar vs Paysandu: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Miramar welcome Paysandu to Parque Palermo for a Segunda División fixture on Saturday 3 October (17:00 WAT). In the table, Miramar are 12th, in the drop zone, on 30 points after 25 matches; Paysandu are 5th (upper half) with 35.

Current form

Miramar, last 5: WLDWW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Auckland FC 2, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.

Paysandu, last 5: DDLWW Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Tacuarembo, at home. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.

Head to head

When they last met (27 Jun 2026) it ended Paysandu 2–3 Miramar. The last 2 head-to-heads: Miramar 1 win, Paysandu 1, draws 0. Those games averaged 3.5 goals and saw GG land 1 time.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Miramar 1.1 xG, Paysandu 1.2 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 42%, GG 50%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Miramar 37%, draw 23%, Paysandu 40%.
  • GG/NG: NG (50%) at 1.85.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Not both teams to score (50%, odds 1.85). Most likely score in line with that pick: Miramar 0–1 Paysandu. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Miramar37%fair 2.68 · @2.50
Draw23%fair 4.40 · @3.10
Paysandu40%fair 2.51 · @2.45
2.35Expected goals
1.15Miramar xG
1.20Paysandu xG
50%Both score
42%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%
0–111%
1–011%
0–010%
1–28%
2–18%

From our goals model: Miramar 1.1 – 1.2 Paysandu expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultPaysandu to win ✗40%2.512.45
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77%1.291.30
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✓50%1.981.85
Draw no betPaysandu (draw no bet) ✗52%1.94–
Asian handicapMiramar +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓63%1.59–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗68%1.47–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓58%1.72–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓79%1.27–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓91%1.10–
First team to scorePaysandu to score first ✗46%2.16–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗46%2.19–
Half-time / full-timeHT Paysandu / FT Paysandu ✗21%4.72–
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗11%8.73–

Recent results

Miramar – last 6

WLDWWL
3 Octvs Auckland FC 22–1W
28 Sep@ Sportivo Huracan1–2L
27 Sep@ Napier City Rovers1–1D
19 Sepvs Uruguay Montevideo1–0W
12 Sep@ Oriental3–1W
5 Sepvs Colón0–1L
1.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Paysandu – last 6

DDLWWD
28 Sepvs Tacuarembo2–2D
19 Sep@ Plaza Colonia1–1D
12 Sepvs La Luz0–1L
5 Sep@ Cerrito2–1W
29 Augvs Atenas2–0W
22 Augvs CA River Plate0–0D
1.2Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

27 Jun 2026Paysandu v Miramar2–3
27 Mar 2026Paysandu v Miramar2–0
Miramar vs Paysandu head-to-head page →

Segunda División table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Oriental6411+313
2Plaza Colonia6330+712
3Fenix6321+611
4Sportivo Huracan6240+310
5Colón6231+39
6Uruguay Montevideo6231+29
7Rentistas6231+19
8Cerrito623109
9La Luz6141-17
10Miramar6123-45
11Paysandu6114-34
12Atenas6114-64
13CA River Plate6114-74
14Tacuarembo6033-43

More Segunda División predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Miramar vs Paysandu?

Our pick is Not both teams to score with a 50% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.85.

Who will win Miramar vs Paysandu?

On our numbers Miramar have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Paysandu 40%.

How many goals will there be in Miramar vs Paysandu?

We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Miramar vs Paysandu?

Our predicted score is Miramar 0–1 Paysandu, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.

When is Miramar vs Paysandu?

Miramar vs Paysandu (Segunda División) kicks off on Saturday 3 October 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Parque Palermo.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.