Tacuarembo vs Atenas: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Saturday 3 October the Segunda División brings Tacuarembo against Atenas. Kick-off: 23:00 WAT. In the table, Tacuarembo are 13th, in the drop zone, on 26 points after 25 matches; Atenas are 1st (leading the league) with 44. There are 18 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Tacuarembo, last 5: DDDLL Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Paysandu, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Atenas, last 5: DDWDW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Plaza Colonia, at home. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.2 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Atenas, collecting 1.7 points per game to 0.5 for Tacuarembo.
Head to head
When they last met (27 Jun 2026) it ended Atenas 2–0 Tacuarembo. The last 2 head-to-heads: Tacuarembo 0 wins, Atenas 2, draws 0. Those games averaged 1.5 goals.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Tacuarembo 1.0 xG, Atenas 1.3 xG – a total near 2.2. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 38%, GG 52%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Tacuarembo 31%, draw 23%, Atenas 46%.
GG/NG: GG (52%) at 1.91.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (52%, odds 1.91). Most likely score in line with that pick: Tacuarembo 1–1 Atenas. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Tacuarembo31%fair 3.24 · @2.90
Draw23%fair 4.30 · @3.00
Atenas46%fair 2.18 · @2.25
2.21Expected goals
0.96Tacuarembo xG
1.25Atenas xG
52%Both score
38%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–114%
1–113%
0–011%
1–010%
0–29%
1–28%
From our goals model: Tacuarembo 1.0 – 1.3 Atenas expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 52% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.91.
Who will win Tacuarembo vs Atenas?
On our numbers Tacuarembo have a 31% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Atenas 46%.
How many goals will there be in Tacuarembo vs Atenas?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 38% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Tacuarembo vs Atenas?
Our predicted score is Tacuarembo 1–1 Atenas, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Tacuarembo vs Atenas?
Tacuarembo vs Atenas (Segunda División) kicks off on Saturday 3 October 2026 at 23:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
