Good pick · fair odds 1.50 · bookmaker 1.60 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.60Odds
Picks by market
ResultFenix to win ✓67% · @1.60
Double chanceFenix or draw ✓88% · @1.15
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗51% · @2.10
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77% · fair 1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.17
Fenix vs Uruguay Montevideo: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Fenix welcome Uruguay Montevideo to Parque Capurro for a Segunda División fixture on Sunday 4 October (17:00 WAT). In the table, Fenix are 11th, lower half, on 31 points after 25 matches; Uruguay Montevideo are 14th (in the drop zone) with 22.
Current form
Fenix, last 5: LLDWL Their latest outing: 2–3 defeat to Oriental, away. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.
Uruguay Montevideo, last 5: LLDLD Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Rentistas, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.
Momentum favours Fenix, collecting 0.8 points per game to 0.3 for Uruguay Montevideo.
Head to head
When they last met (27 Jun 2026) it ended Uruguay Montevideo 3–2 Fenix. The last 2 head-to-heads: Fenix 0 wins, Uruguay Montevideo 1, draws 1. Those games averaged 3.5 goals and saw GG land 2 times.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Fenix 1.8 xG, Uruguay Montevideo 0.6 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 44%, GG 51%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Fenix 67%, draw 21%, Uruguay Montevideo 12%.
Lower-risk option: Fenix or draw (88%) at 1.15.
GG/NG: GG (51%) at 2.10.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Fenix to win (67%, odds 1.60 – longer than our fair 1.50, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Fenix 1–0 Uruguay Montevideo. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Fenix67%fair 1.50 · @1.60
Draw21%fair 4.66 · @3.50
Uruguay Montevideo12%fair 8.37 · @5.00
2.45Expected goals
1.83Fenix xG
0.62Uruguay Montevideo xG
51%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–016%
2–014%
1–110%
2–19%
3–09%
0–09%
From our goals model: Fenix 1.8 – 0.6 Uruguay Montevideo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Fenix vs Uruguay Montevideo?
Our pick is Fenix to win with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.60.
Who will win Fenix vs Uruguay Montevideo?
On our numbers Fenix have a 67% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Uruguay Montevideo 12%.
How many goals will there be in Fenix vs Uruguay Montevideo?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Fenix vs Uruguay Montevideo?
Our predicted score is Fenix 1–0 Uruguay Montevideo, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Fenix vs Uruguay Montevideo?
Fenix vs Uruguay Montevideo (Segunda División) kicks off on Sunday 4 October 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Parque Capurro.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
