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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Plaza Colonia v Cerrito: numbers & prediction

Segunda División · Uruguay · Parque Cincuentenario Juan Prandi
1–3
FT

Cerrito

LWDDW
Plaza Colonia 46%Draw 22%Cerrito 31% Expected goals 1.28 – 0.97
51%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Fair pick · fair odds 1.94 · bookmaker 1.91 · Won ✓

3/10Rating
1.91Odds

Picks by market

ResultPlaza Colonia to win ✗46% · @2.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓51% · @1.91
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗81% · fair 1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 11.94

Plaza Colonia vs Cerrito: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Cerrito travel to face Plaza Colonia on Sunday 4 October in the Segunda División, with Parque Cincuentenario Juan Prandi the venue – the ball rolls at 20:00 WAT. In the table, Plaza Colonia are 4th, among the top four, on 38 points after 25 matches; Cerrito are 8th (lower half) with 34.

Current form

Plaza Colonia, last 5: WDDLW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Defensor Sporting, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Cerrito, last 5: LWDDW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to La Luz, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Plaza Colonia, collecting 1.8 points per game to 1.3 for Cerrito.

Head to head

When they last met (28 Jun 2026) it ended Cerrito 1–0 Plaza Colonia.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Plaza Colonia 1.3 xG, Cerrito 1.0 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 39%, GG 51%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Plaza Colonia 46%, draw 22%, Cerrito 31%.
  • GG/NG: GG (51%) at 1.91.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (51%, odds 1.91). Most likely score in line with that pick: Plaza Colonia 1–1 Cerrito. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Plaza Colonia46%fair 2.15 · @2.05
Draw22%fair 4.46 · @3.20
Cerrito31%fair 3.22 · @3.10
2.25Expected goals
1.28Plaza Colonia xG
0.97Cerrito xG
51%Both score
39%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–013%
1–113%
0–011%
0–110%
2–09%
2–18%

From our goals model: Plaza Colonia 1.3 – 1.0 Cerrito expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultPlaza Colonia to win ✗46%2.152.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78%1.291.30
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓51%1.941.91
Draw no betPlaza Colonia (draw no bet) ✗60%1.67–
Asian handicapCerrito +1 (Asian handicap) ✓74%1.35–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓66%1.52–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗61%1.64–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗81%1.24–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓92%1.08–
First team to scorePlaza Colonia to score first ✗51%1.96–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗47%2.14–
Half-time / full-timeHT Plaza Colonia / FT Plaza Colonia ✗25%3.97–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8%11.94–

Recent results

Plaza Colonia – last 6

WDDLWW
30 Sep@ Defensor Sporting1–0W
27 Sep@ Atenas0–0D
19 Sepvs Paysandu1–1D
16 Sep@ Rentistas1–2L
12 Sep@ Sportivo Huracan2–1W
7 Sepvs Uruguay Montevideo1–0W
1.0Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Cerrito – last 6

LWDDWL
27 Sepvs La Luz1–2L
24 Sep@ Wanderers3–1W
20 Sepvs CA River Plate1–1D
13 Sep@ Atenas0–0D
10 Sep@ Cerro2–0W
5 Sepvs Paysandu1–2L
1.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

28 Jun 2026Cerrito v Plaza Colonia1–0
Plaza Colonia vs Cerrito head-to-head page →

Segunda División table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Oriental6411+313
2Plaza Colonia6330+712
3Fenix6321+611
4Sportivo Huracan6240+310
5Colón6231+39
6Uruguay Montevideo6231+29
7Rentistas6231+19
8Cerrito623109
9La Luz6141-17
10Miramar6123-45
11Paysandu6114-34
12Atenas6114-64
13CA River Plate6114-74
14Tacuarembo6033-43

More Segunda División predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Plaza Colonia vs Cerrito?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 51% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.91.

Who will win Plaza Colonia vs Cerrito?

On our numbers Plaza Colonia have a 46% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Cerrito 31%.

How many goals will there be in Plaza Colonia vs Cerrito?

We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 39% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Plaza Colonia vs Cerrito?

Our predicted score is Plaza Colonia 1–1 Cerrito, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.

When is Plaza Colonia vs Cerrito?

Plaza Colonia vs Cerrito (Segunda División) kicks off on Sunday 4 October 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Parque Cincuentenario Juan Prandi.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.