Good pick · fair odds 1.59 · bookmaker 1.73 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.73Odds
Picks by market
ResultKorba to win ✓63% · @1.73
Double chanceKorba or draw ✓87% · @1.12
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓63% · fair 1.59
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓83% · fair 1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗19% · fair 5.31
Korba vs EGS Gafsa: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
EGS Gafsa travel to face Korba on Sunday 4 October in the Ligue 2 – the ball rolls at 15:00 WAT. In the table, Korba are 8th, upper half, on 12 points after 7 matches; EGS Gafsa are 19th (lower half) with 7.
Current form
Korba, last 5: LDWLW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Bouchamma, away. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
EGS Gafsa, last 5: LWWLL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to AS Kasserine, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 2.2 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Korba 1.6 xG, EGS Gafsa 0.5 xG – a total near 2.1. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 63% and a clean sheet for one side more likely than not. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Korba 63%, draw 24%, EGS Gafsa 13%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Korba to win (63%, odds 1.73 – longer than our fair 1.59, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Korba 1–0 EGS Gafsa. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Korba63%fair 1.59 · @1.73
Draw24%fair 4.13 · @3.20
EGS Gafsa13%fair 7.79 · @4.50
2.13Expected goals
1.58Korba xG
0.55EGS Gafsa xG
37%Both score
37%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–019%
2–015%
0–012%
1–110%
2–18%
3–08%
From our goals model: Korba 1.6 – 0.5 EGS Gafsa expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Korba to win✓
63%
1.59
1.73 ▲
Double chance
Korba or draw✓
87%
1.15
1.12
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
63%
1.59
–
Draw no bet
Korba (draw no bet)✓
83%
1.20
–
Asian handicap
Korba -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
63%
1.59
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
63%
1.59
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
63%
1.60
1.53
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
83%
1.20
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
94%
1.07
–
First team to score
Korba to score first✓
65%
1.53
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
46%
2.17
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Korba / FT Korba✓
39%
2.60
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
19%
5.31
–
Recent results
Korba – last 6
LDWLWL
27 Sep
@ Bouchamma
0–1
L
12 May
@ Bouchamma
1–1
D
28 Apr
@ EO Sidi Bouzid
5–1
W
22 Apr
@ Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer
0–4
L
29 Mar
vs Jendouba Sport
2–1
W
27 Feb
@ Kalaâ Sport
1–2
L
1.5Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
EGS Gafsa – last 6
LWWLLL
27 Sep
vs AS Kasserine
1–2
L
12 May
vs EO Sidi Bouzid
5–2
W
28 Apr
vs Jendouba Sport
1–0
W
19 Apr
@ Ksour Essef
2–4
L
5 Apr
@ Stade Gabesien
1–2
L
27 Feb
@ Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer
0–3
L
1.7Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Korba and EGS Gafsa.
Our pick is Korba to win with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.73.
Who will win Korba vs EGS Gafsa?
On our numbers Korba have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 24% and EGS Gafsa 13%.
How many goals will there be in Korba vs EGS Gafsa?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 37% likely and both teams score 37% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Korba vs EGS Gafsa?
Our predicted score is Korba 1–0 EGS Gafsa, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Korba vs EGS Gafsa?
Korba vs EGS Gafsa (Ligue 2) kicks off on Sunday 4 October 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
