Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓60% · fair 1.67
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77% · fair 1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗17% · fair 6.02
Stade Gabesien vs Moknine: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 4 October the Ligue 2 brings Stade Gabesien against Moknine. Kick-off: 15:00 WAT. In the table, Stade Gabesien are 17th, lower half, on 8 points after 7 matches; Moknine are 28th (in the drop zone) with 2.
Current form
Stade Gabesien, last 5: DLWDD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Ariana, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Moknine, last 5: LDWWD Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to Redeyef, at home. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Moknine, collecting 1.8 points per game to 1.2 for Stade Gabesien.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Stade Gabesien 1.9 xG, Moknine 0.5 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 44%, GG 40%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Stade Gabesien 70%, draw 21%, Moknine 9%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Stade Gabesien to win (70%, odds 1.33). Most likely score in line with that pick: Stade Gabesien 1–0 Moknine. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Stade Gabesien70%fair 1.43 · @1.33
Draw21%fair 4.67 · @4.10
Moknine9%fair 11.62 · @8.50
2.45Expected goals
1.92Stade Gabesien xG
0.53Moknine xG
40%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–017%
2–016%
3–010%
1–19%
0–09%
2–18%
From our goals model: Stade Gabesien 1.9 – 0.5 Moknine expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Stade Gabesien to win✗
70%
1.43
1.33
Double chance
Stade Gabesien or draw✓
91%
1.09
1.04
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
60%
1.67
–
Draw no bet
Stade Gabesien (draw no bet)
89%
1.12
–
Asian handicap
Stade Gabesien -1 (Asian handicap)✗
60%
1.66
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
70%
1.43
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
56%
1.77
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
77%
1.30
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
90%
1.11
–
First team to score
Stade Gabesien to score first✗
72%
1.40
–
Half-time result
Stade Gabesien ahead at half-time✗
49%
2.04
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Stade Gabesien / FT Stade Gabesien✗
46%
2.19
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
17%
6.02
–
Recent results
Stade Gabesien – last 6
DLWDDD
27 Sep
@ Ariana
1–1
D
30 May
@ CS Hammam-Lif
0–3
L
25 May
vs US Tataouine
2–0
W
20 May
@ CS Sfaxien
1–1
D
12 May
@ Djelma
0–0
D
28 Apr
@ AS Kasserine
1–1
D
0.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Moknine – last 6
LDWWDW
27 Sep
vs Redeyef
0–3
L
12 May
vs Ariana
0–0
D
28 Apr
vs Ksour Essef
2–1
W
19 Apr
@ Redeyef
3–2
W
27 Feb
@ AS Kasserine
1–1
D
21 Feb
vs Kalaâ Sport
2–0
W
1.3Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Stade Gabesien and Moknine.
What is the prediction for Stade Gabesien vs Moknine?
Our pick is Stade Gabesien to win with a 70% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.
Who will win Stade Gabesien vs Moknine?
On our numbers Stade Gabesien have a 70% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Moknine 9%.
How many goals will there be in Stade Gabesien vs Moknine?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 40% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Stade Gabesien vs Moknine?
Our predicted score is Stade Gabesien 1–0 Moknine, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Stade Gabesien vs Moknine?
Stade Gabesien vs Moknine (Ligue 2) kicks off on Sunday 4 October 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.