Very strong pick · fair odds 1.24 · bookmaker 1.22 · Lost ✗
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
1
Value bet: Shabab Al Sahel to win @ 1.91 – our chance 56% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultShabab Al Sahel to win ✗56% · @1.91
Double chanceShabab Al Sahel or draw ✗81% · @1.22
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓55% · fair 1.83
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75% · fair 1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗13% · fair 7.46
Shabab Al Sahel vs Tadamon Sour: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Shabab Al Sahel welcome Tadamon Sour for a Premier League fixture on Thursday 8 October (13:00 WAT). In the table, Shabab Al Sahel are 9th, lower half, on 4 points after 5 matches; Tadamon Sour are 3rd (among the top four) with 10.
Current form
Shabab Al Sahel, last 5: DLWWL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Jwaaya FC, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.3 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Tadamon Sour, last 5: LWDWL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Reyady Abaseya, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Shabab Al Sahel 1.7 xG, Tadamon Sour 0.9 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 46%, GG 45%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Shabab Al Sahel 56%, draw 24%, Tadamon Sour 19%.
Lower-risk option: Shabab Al Sahel or draw (81%) at 1.22.
Price worth noting: Shabab Al Sahel to win @1.91 – the bookmaker implies 52%, our ratings say 56%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Shabab Al Sahel or draw (81%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Shabab Al Sahel 1–0 Tadamon Sour. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Shabab Al Sahel56%fair 1.77 · @1.91
Draw24%fair 4.11 · @3.30
Tadamon Sour19%fair 5.19 · @3.50
2.52Expected goals
1.66Shabab Al Sahel xG
0.86Tadamon Sour xG
45%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–013%
1–111%
2–011%
2–110%
0–08%
0–17%
From our goals model: Shabab Al Sahel 1.7 – 0.9 Tadamon Sour expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Shabab Al Sahel to win✗
56%
1.77
1.91 ▲
Double chance
Shabab Al Sahel or draw✗
81%
1.24
1.22
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
55%
1.83
–
Draw no bet
Shabab Al Sahel (draw no bet)✗
75%
1.34
–
Asian handicap
Tadamon Sour +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
69%
1.45
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
72%
1.40
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
54%
1.85
1.75
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
75%
1.33
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
89%
1.12
–
First team to score
Shabab Al Sahel to score first✗
61%
1.65
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
43%
2.34
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Shabab Al Sahel / FT Shabab Al Sahel✗
35%
2.89
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
13%
7.46
–
Recent results
Shabab Al Sahel – last 6
DLWWLL
2 Jul
@ Jwaaya FC
0–0
D
28 Jun
@ Al Ahed
2–4
L
24 Jun
vs Reyady Abaseya
3–0
W
16 Jun
vs Racing
2–0
W
12 Jun
vs Safa
0–1
L
22 Feb
@ Al Ansar
0–3
L
1.2Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
17%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Tadamon Sour – last 6
LWDWLL
29 Jul
@ Reyady Abaseya
1–2
L
21 Jul
vs Racing
1–0
W
17 Jul
vs Reyady Abaseya
0–0
D
10 Jul
@ Racing
3–1
W
3 Jul
vs Al Ansar
0–3
L
29 Jun
@ Al Hikma
1–4
L
1.0Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Shabab Al Sahel and Tadamon Sour.
What is the prediction for Shabab Al Sahel vs Tadamon Sour?
Our pick is Shabab Al Sahel or draw with a 81% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Shabab Al Sahel vs Tadamon Sour?
On our numbers Shabab Al Sahel have a 56% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Tadamon Sour 19%.
How many goals will there be in Shabab Al Sahel vs Tadamon Sour?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 45% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Shabab Al Sahel vs Tadamon Sour?
Our predicted score is Shabab Al Sahel 1–0 Tadamon Sour, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Shabab Al Sahel vs Tadamon Sour?
Shabab Al Sahel vs Tadamon Sour (Premier League) kicks off on Thursday 8 October 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
