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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Safa v Reyady Abaseya: numbers & prediction

Premier League · Lebanon

Safa

WDLWW
2–1
FT
Safa 65%Draw 21%Reyady Abaseya 14% Expected goals 1.86 – 0.71
65%
Betarazi pick

Safa to win

Good pick · fair odds 1.53 · bookmaker 1.60 · Won ✓

6/10Rating
1.60Odds

Picks by market

ResultSafa to win ✓65% · @1.60
Double chanceSafa or draw ✓86% · @1.12
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗56% · fair 1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74% · fair 1.35
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗14% · fair 7.01

Safa vs Reyady Abaseya: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Thursday 8 October the Premier League brings Safa against Reyady Abaseya. Kick-off: 19:45 WAT. In the table, Safa are 1st, leading the league, on 15 points after 5 matches; Reyady Abaseya are 12th (in the drop zone) with 2. There are 13 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Safa, last 5: WDLWW Their latest outing: 4–0 win over Al Mabarrah, at home. Scoring is no problem – 2.2 a game lately. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Reyady Abaseya, last 5: WWDWW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Tadamon Sour, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Head to head

When they last met (20 Jun 2026) it ended Reyady Abaseya 2–4 Safa.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Safa 1.9 xG, Reyady Abaseya 0.7 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 47%, GG 44%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Safa 65%, draw 21%, Reyady Abaseya 14%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Safa to win (65%, odds 1.60 – longer than our fair 1.53, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Safa 1–0 Reyady Abaseya. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Safa65%fair 1.53 · @1.60
Draw21%fair 4.86 · @3.60
Reyady Abaseya14%fair 7.14 · @4.75
2.57Expected goals
1.86Safa xG
0.71Reyady Abaseya xG
44%Both score
47%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–014%
2–013%
1–110%
2–19%
3–08%
0–08%

From our goals model: Safa 1.9 – 0.7 Reyady Abaseya expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultSafa to win ✓65%1.531.60
Double chanceSafa or draw ✓86%1.161.12
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✗56%1.80–
Draw no betSafa (draw no bet) ✓82%1.21–
Asian handicapSafa -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓65%1.54–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓73%1.38–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗53%1.901.80
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74%1.35–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓88%1.13–
First team to scoreSafa to score first ✓67%1.49–
Half-time resultSafa ahead at half-time ✓46%2.19–
Half-time / full-timeHT Safa / FT Safa ✓41%2.43–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗14%7.01–

Recent results

Safa – last 6

WDLWWW
3 Julvs Al Mabarrah4–0W
28 Jun@ Jwaaya FC1–1D
24 Jun@ Al Ahed1–4L
20 Jun@ Reyady Abaseya4–2W
12 Jun@ Shabab Al Sahel1–0W
20 Febvs Racing2–0W
2.2Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Reyady Abaseya – last 6

WWDWWL
29 Julvs Tadamon Sour2–1W
25 Jul@ Racing2–1W
17 Jul@ Tadamon Sour0–0D
13 Julvs Racing4–0W
2 Julvs Racing2–0W
24 Jun@ Shabab Al Sahel0–3L
1.7Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

20 Jun 2026Reyady Abaseya v Safa2–4
Safa vs Reyady Abaseya head-to-head page →

Premier League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Safa5500+1115
2Jwaaya FC6411+813
3Tadamon Sour6312+210
4Al Ahed623109
5Al Nejmeh4220+48
6Al Ansar3210+27
7Tripoli SC6213-17
8Al Hikma6123-45
9Shabab Al Sahel5113-54
10Al Akhaa Al Ahli6114-74
11Shabab Al Ghazieh6114-74
12Reyady Abaseya5023-32

More Premier League predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Safa vs Reyady Abaseya?

Our pick is Safa to win with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.60.

Who will win Safa vs Reyady Abaseya?

On our numbers Safa have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Reyady Abaseya 14%.

How many goals will there be in Safa vs Reyady Abaseya?

We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 44% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Safa vs Reyady Abaseya?

Our predicted score is Safa 1–0 Reyady Abaseya, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.

When is Safa vs Reyady Abaseya?

Safa vs Reyady Abaseya (Premier League) kicks off on Thursday 8 October 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.