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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Tadamon Sour v Al Ansar: numbers & prediction

Premier League · Lebanon
3–4
FT
Tadamon Sour 9%Draw 20%Al Ansar 71% Expected goals 0.70 – 2.23
76%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.31 · bookmaker 1.23 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.23Odds
GG

Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.01 – our chance 54% vs 50% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Picks by market

ResultAl Ansar to win ✓71% · @1.37
Double chanceAl Ansar or draw ✓91% · @1.02
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓54% · @2.01
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · @1.23
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 10.76

Tadamon Sour vs Al Ansar: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Al Ansar travel to face Tadamon Sour on Sunday 8 November in the Premier League – the ball rolls at 12:15 WAT. In the table, Tadamon Sour are 3rd, among the top four, on 10 points after 6 matches; Al Ansar are 6th (upper half) with 7. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Tadamon Sour, last 5: LWWDW Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Safa, at home. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.

Al Ansar, last 5: DLWWW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Al Akhaa Al Ahli, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.

Head to head

When they last met (3 Jul 2026) it ended Tadamon Sour 0–3 Al Ansar.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Tadamon Sour 0.7 xG, Al Ansar 2.2 xG – a total near 2.9. That is an open game on paper: 54% for three or more goals, 54% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Tadamon Sour 9%, draw 20%, Al Ansar 71%.
  • GG/NG: GG (54%) at 2.01.
  • Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.01 – the bookmaker implies 50%, our ratings say 54%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (76%, odds 1.23). Most likely score in line with that pick: Tadamon Sour 0–2 Al Ansar. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Tadamon Sour9%fair 11.39 · @7.41
Draw20%fair 4.91 · @4.10
Al Ansar71%fair 1.41 · @1.37
2.93Expected goals
0.70Tadamon Sour xG
2.23Al Ansar xG
54%Both score
54%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–213%
0–112%
0–310%
1–29%
1–18%
1–37%

From our goals model: Tadamon Sour 0.7 – 2.2 Al Ansar expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultAl Ansar to win ✓71%1.411.37
Double chanceAl Ansar or draw ✓91%1.101.02
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓54%1.862.01 ▲
Draw no betAl Ansar (draw no bet) ✓89%1.12–
Asian handicapAl Ansar -1 (Asian handicap)64%1.57–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76%1.311.23
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓54%1.861.79
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗67%1.481.32
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗83%1.211.11
First team to scoreAl Ansar to score first72%1.39–
Half-time resultAl Ansar ahead at half-time ✓52%1.92–
Half-time / full-timeHT Al Ansar / FT Al Ansar ✓48%2.08–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9%10.76–

Recent results

Tadamon Sour – last 6

LWWDWL
30 Octvs Safa0–2L
23 Oct@ Tripoli SC2–1W
17 Octvs Al Akhaa Al Ahli4–1W
12 Oct@ Al Nejmeh3–3D
8 Oct@ Shabab Al Sahel1–0W
29 Jul@ Reyady Abaseya1–2L
1.8Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Al Ansar – last 6

DLWWWW
31 Oct@ Al Akhaa Al Ahli1–1D
23 Oct@ Ahal1–2L
20 Oct@ Paro2–1W
17 Octvs Al Ittihad2–0W
8 Octvs Al Hikma2–1W
2 Aug@ Al Nejmeh2–1W
1.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

3 Jul 2026Tadamon Sour v Al Ansar0–3
Tadamon Sour vs Al Ansar head-to-head page →

Premier League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Safa5500+1115
2Jwaaya FC6411+813
3Tadamon Sour6312+210
4Al Ahed623109
5Al Nejmeh4220+48
6Al Ansar3210+27
7Tripoli SC6213-17
8Al Hikma6123-45
9Shabab Al Sahel5113-54
10Al Akhaa Al Ahli6114-74
11Shabab Al Ghazieh6114-74
12Reyady Abaseya5023-32

More Premier League predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Tadamon Sour vs Al Ansar?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.23.

Who will win Tadamon Sour vs Al Ansar?

On our numbers Tadamon Sour have a 9% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Al Ansar 71%.

How many goals will there be in Tadamon Sour vs Al Ansar?

We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Tadamon Sour vs Al Ansar?

Our predicted score is Tadamon Sour 0–2 Al Ansar, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.

When is Tadamon Sour vs Al Ansar?

Tadamon Sour vs Al Ansar (Premier League) kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 12:15 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.