Value bet: Al Nejmeh to win @ 1.81 – our chance 59% vs 55% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultAl Nejmeh to win ✓59% · @1.81
Double chanceAl Nejmeh or draw ✓85% · @1.16
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗53% · @1.79
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78% · @1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.73
Al Ahed vs Al Nejmeh: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Al Ahed welcome Al Nejmeh to Beirut Municipal Stadium for a Premier League fixture on Sunday 8 November (19:00 WAT). In the table, Al Ahed are 4th, among the top four, on 9 points after 6 matches; Al Nejmeh are 5th (upper half) with 8. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Al Ahed, last 5: DWDWD Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Shabab Al Sahel, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Al Nejmeh, last 5: DWLWD Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Jwaaya FC, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.0 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Head to head
When they last met (28 Jul 2026) it ended Al Nejmeh 2–1 Al Ahed. The last 3 head-to-heads: Al Ahed 0 wins, Al Nejmeh 3, draws 0. Those games averaged 2.0 goals and saw GG land 1 time.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Al Ahed 0.6 xG, Al Nejmeh 1.5 xG – a total near 2.2. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 58%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Al Ahed 15%, draw 26%, Al Nejmeh 59%.
Lower-risk option: Al Nejmeh or draw (85%) at 1.16.
GG/NG: GG (53%) at 1.79.
Price worth noting: Al Nejmeh to win @1.81 – the bookmaker implies 55%, our ratings say 59%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (78%, odds 1.24). Most likely score in line with that pick: Al Ahed 0–1 Al Nejmeh. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Al Ahed15%fair 6.56 · @3.94
Draw26%fair 3.84 · @3.30
Al Nejmeh59%fair 1.70 · @1.81
2.16Expected goals
0.64Al Ahed xG
1.53Al Nejmeh xG
53%Both score
42%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–118%
0–213%
0–011%
1–111%
1–29%
1–07%
From our goals model: Al Ahed 0.6 – 1.5 Al Nejmeh expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.24.
Who will win Al Ahed vs Al Nejmeh?
On our numbers Al Ahed have a 15% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Al Nejmeh 59%.
How many goals will there be in Al Ahed vs Al Nejmeh?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Al Ahed vs Al Nejmeh?
Our predicted score is Al Ahed 0–1 Al Nejmeh, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Al Ahed vs Al Nejmeh?
Al Ahed vs Al Nejmeh (Premier League) kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Beirut Municipal Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
