Good pick · fair odds 1.54 · bookmaker 1.73 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.73Odds
Picks by market
ResultCD Marathon to win ✗65% · @1.73
Double chanceCD Marathon or draw ✓87% · @1.18
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗55% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗79% · fair 1.27
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗16% · fair 6.06
Atletico Independiente vs CD Marathon: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
01:30 WAT, Sunday 25 October: Atletico Independiente v CD Marathon in the Liga Nacional, played at Estadio Carlos Miranda. In the table, Atletico Independiente are 10th, in the drop zone, on 13 points after 14 matches; CD Marathon are 3rd (among the top four) with 28. There are 15 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Atletico Independiente, last 5: LDLWD Their latest outing: 0–4 defeat to Lobos Upnfm, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
CD Marathon, last 5: WWDLL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Alianza, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Momentum favours CD Marathon, collecting 1.7 points per game to 0.8 for Atletico Independiente.
Head to head
When they last met (4 Aug 2026) it ended CD Marathon 1–0 Atletico Independiente.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Atletico Independiente 0.6 xG, CD Marathon 1.7 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 42%, GG 45%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Atletico Independiente 13%, draw 22%, CD Marathon 65%.
Lower-risk option: CD Marathon or draw (87%) at 1.18.
GG/NG: NG (55%) at 1.85.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was CD Marathon to win (65%, odds 1.73 – longer than our fair 1.54, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Atletico Independiente 0–1 CD Marathon. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Atletico Independiente13%fair 7.43 · @4.50
Draw22%fair 4.61 · @3.30
CD Marathon65%fair 1.54 · @1.73
2.35Expected goals
0.62Atletico Independiente xG
1.73CD Marathon xG
45%Both score
42%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–116%
0–214%
1–110%
0–010%
1–29%
0–38%
From our goals model: Atletico Independiente 0.6 – 1.7 CD Marathon expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Atletico Independiente vs CD Marathon?
Our pick is CD Marathon to win with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.73.
Who will win Atletico Independiente vs CD Marathon?
On our numbers Atletico Independiente have a 13% chance of winning, the draw 22% and CD Marathon 65%.
How many goals will there be in Atletico Independiente vs CD Marathon?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 45% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Atletico Independiente vs CD Marathon?
Our predicted score is Atletico Independiente 0–1 CD Marathon, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Atletico Independiente vs CD Marathon?
Atletico Independiente vs CD Marathon (Liga Nacional) kicks off on Sunday 25 October 2026 at 01:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Carlos Miranda.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
