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CD Motagua v Juticalpa: numbers & prediction

Liga Nacional · Honduras · Estadio Nacional Chelato Ucles
2–0
FT
CD Motagua 71%Draw 18%Juticalpa 11% Expected goals 2.30 – 0.79
71%
Betarazi pick

CD Motagua to win

Strong pick · fair odds 1.40 · bookmaker 1.28 · Won ✓

7/10Rating
1.28Odds

Picks by market

ResultCD Motagua to win ✓71% · @1.28
Double chanceCD Motagua or draw ✓89% · @1.07
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓55% · fair 1.83
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81% · fair 1.23
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–0 ✗9% · fair 10.79

CD Motagua vs Juticalpa: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Sunday 25 October the Liga Nacional brings CD Motagua against Juticalpa at Estadio Nacional Chelato Ucles. Kick-off: 22:00 WAT. In the table, CD Motagua are 4th, among the top four, on 28 points after 14 matches; Juticalpa are 12th (in the drop zone) with 6. There are 22 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

CD Motagua, last 5: DWWLD Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with LD Alajuelense, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.

Juticalpa, last 5: LLWLL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Atlético Choloma, at home. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.

Momentum favours CD Motagua, collecting 1.8 points per game to 1.0 for Juticalpa.

Head to head

When they last met (2 Aug 2026) it ended Juticalpa 0–3 CD Motagua. The last 3 head-to-heads: CD Motagua 3 wins, Juticalpa 0, draws 0. Those games averaged 3.0 goals and saw GG land 2 times.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give CD Motagua 2.3 xG, Juticalpa 0.8 xG – a total near 3.1. That is an open game on paper: 62% for three or more goals, 45% for GG.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – CD Motagua 71%, draw 18%, Juticalpa 11%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was CD Motagua to win (71%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: CD Motagua 2–0 Juticalpa. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

CD Motagua71%fair 1.40 · @1.28
Draw18%fair 5.67 · @5.75
Juticalpa11%fair 9.08 · @7.50
3.09Expected goals
2.30CD Motagua xG
0.79Juticalpa xG
45%Both score
62%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–012%
1–011%
2–19%
3–09%
1–18%
3–17%

From our goals model: CD Motagua 2.3 – 0.8 Juticalpa expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultCD Motagua to win ✓71%1.401.28
Double chanceCD Motagua or draw ✓89%1.121.07
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✓55%1.83–
Draw no betCD Motagua (draw no bet) ✓87%1.15–
Asian handicapCD Motagua -1 (Asian handicap) ✓63%1.59–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81%1.23–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗62%1.611.44
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓63%1.59–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓80%1.25–
First team to scoreCD Motagua to score first ✓71%1.41–
Half-time resultCD Motagua ahead at half-time ✗52%1.92–
Half-time / full-timeHT CD Motagua / FT CD Motagua ✗48%2.10–
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–0 ✗9%10.79–

Recent results

CD Motagua – last 6

DWWLDW
23 Octvs LD Alajuelense0–0D
17 Oct@ Platense FC2–0W
11 Octvs Atlético Choloma2–1W
20 Sep@ Real Espana0–1L
17 Sep@ Alianza0–0D
13 Sepvs Génesis1–0W
0.8Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Juticalpa – last 6

LLWLLW
18 Octvs Atlético Choloma1–2L
9 Oct@ Platense FC1–2L
20 Sepvs CD Marathon3–2W
14 Sep@ Atletico Independiente1–2L
7 Sepvs Génesis0–3L
29 Augvs Lobos Upnfm1–0W
1.2Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Head to head

2 Aug 2026Juticalpa v CD Motagua0–3
20 Apr 2026CD Motagua v Juticalpa2–1
26 Feb 2026Juticalpa v CD Motagua1–2
CD Motagua vs Juticalpa head-to-head page →

Liga Nacional table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1CD Olimpia141031+2633
2Real Espana14851+1229
3CD Marathon14842+1128
4CD Motagua14914+1028
5Estrella Roja14545019
6Lobos Upnfm14545019
7Olancho14392+318
8Génesis14437+115
9Atlético Choloma14428-514
10Atletico Independiente14275-1013
11Platense FC142210-218
12Juticalpa142012-276

More Liga Nacional predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for CD Motagua vs Juticalpa?

Our pick is CD Motagua to win with a 71% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.

Who will win CD Motagua vs Juticalpa?

On our numbers CD Motagua have a 71% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Juticalpa 11%.

How many goals will there be in CD Motagua vs Juticalpa?

We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 62% likely and both teams score 45% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for CD Motagua vs Juticalpa?

Our predicted score is CD Motagua 2–0 Juticalpa, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.

When is CD Motagua vs Juticalpa?

CD Motagua vs Juticalpa (Liga Nacional) kicks off on Sunday 25 October 2026 at 22:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Nacional Chelato Ucles.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.