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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Genk v Fortuna Sittard: numbers & prediction

Friendlies Clubs · World

Genk

LDDWD
1–2
FT

Fortuna Sittard

WLWWL
Genk 62%Draw 22%Fortuna Sittard 16% Expected goals 2.34 – 1.14
66%
Betarazi pick

Over 2.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.51 · bookmaker 1.44 · Won ✓

6/10Rating
1.44Odds

Picks by market

ResultGenk to win ✗62% · @1.67
Double chanceGenk or draw ✗84% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓52% · fair 1.91
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓66% · @1.44
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.40

Genk vs Fortuna Sittard: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Genk welcome Fortuna Sittard for a Friendlies Clubs fixture on Saturday 3 October (12:00 WAT).

Current form

Genk, last 5: LDDWD Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to Club Brugge KV, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.0 a game lately.

Fortuna Sittard, last 5: WLWWL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Willem II, away. Away from home the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Fortuna Sittard, collecting 2.0 points per game to 1.5 for Genk.

Head to head

When they last met (11 Jul 2026) it ended Fortuna Sittard 2–1 Genk.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Genk 2.3 xG, Fortuna Sittard 1.1 xG – a total near 3.5. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 66% and GG at 52%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Genk 62%, draw 22%, Fortuna Sittard 16%.
  • Lower-risk option: Genk or draw (84%) at 1.17.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (66%, odds 1.44). Most likely score in line with that pick: Genk 2–1 Fortuna Sittard. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Genk62%fair 1.60 · @1.67
Draw22%fair 4.59 · @4.00
Fortuna Sittard16%fair 6.35 · @4.00
3.48Expected goals
2.34Genk xG
1.14Fortuna Sittard xG
52%Both score
66%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–110%
2–08%
1–18%
3–17%
1–07%
3–07%

From our goals model: Genk 2.3 – 1.1 Fortuna Sittard expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultGenk to win ✗62%1.601.67
Double chanceGenk or draw ✗84%1.191.17
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓52%1.91–
Draw no betGenk (draw no bet) ✗80%1.25–
Asian handicapGenk -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗64%1.56–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓86%1.16–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓66%1.511.44
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓54%1.85–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓73%1.37–
First team to scoreGenk to score first ✓65%1.54–
Half-time resultGenk ahead at half-time ✓48%2.09–
Half-time / full-timeHT Genk / FT Genk ✗42%2.38–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%10.40–

Recent results

Genk – last 6

LDDWDW
20 Sep@ Club Brugge KV0–3L
13 Sepvs Gent1–1D
6 Sep@ Anderlecht0–0D
28 Augvs SK Beveren4–0W
22 Aug@ Antwerp4–4D
15 Augvs KVC Westerlo3–2W
2.0Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Fortuna Sittard – last 6

WLWWLW
19 Sep@ Willem II1–0W
12 Sepvs Ajax1–5L
6 Sep@ ADO Den Haag3–2W
28 Aug@ Groningen3–2W
22 Augvs AZ Alkmaar0–2L
15 Augvs Cambuur3–1W
1.8Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

11 Jul 2026Fortuna Sittard v Genk2–1
Genk vs Fortuna Sittard head-to-head page →

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Genk vs Fortuna Sittard?

Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.

Who will win Genk vs Fortuna Sittard?

On our numbers Genk have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Fortuna Sittard 16%.

How many goals will there be in Genk vs Fortuna Sittard?

We expect about 3.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 66% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Genk vs Fortuna Sittard?

Our predicted score is Genk 2–1 Fortuna Sittard, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.5 goals in total.

When is Genk vs Fortuna Sittard?

Genk vs Fortuna Sittard (Friendlies Clubs) kicks off on Saturday 3 October 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.