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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Jagiellonia v Polonia Warszawa: numbers & prediction

Friendlies Clubs · World

Jagiellonia

LLLWL
1–2
FT

Polonia Warszawa

WDLWL
Jagiellonia 66%Draw 13%Polonia Warszawa 21% Expected goals 2.03 – 0.95
66%
Betarazi pick

Jagiellonia to win

Good pick · fair odds 1.51 · bookmaker 1.62 · Lost ✗

6/10Rating
1.62Odds

Picks by market

ResultJagiellonia to win ✗66% · @1.62
Double chanceEither team to win ✓87% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓50% · fair 1.99
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · fair 1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.06

Jagiellonia vs Polonia Warszawa: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Jagiellonia welcome Polonia Warszawa for a Friendlies Clubs fixture on Saturday 3 October (13:00 WAT).

Current form

Jagiellonia, last 5: LLLWL Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Legia Warszawa, at home. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.

Polonia Warszawa, last 5: WDLWL Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Chrobry Głogów, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Polonia Warszawa, collecting 1.7 points per game to 1.0 for Jagiellonia.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Jagiellonia 2.0 xG, Polonia Warszawa 1.0 xG – a total near 3.0. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 58% and GG at 50%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Jagiellonia 66%, draw 13%, Polonia Warszawa 21%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Jagiellonia to win (66%, odds 1.62 – longer than our fair 1.51, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Jagiellonia 2–0 Polonia Warszawa. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Jagiellonia66%fair 1.51 · @1.62
Draw13%fair 7.62 · @4.10
Polonia Warszawa21%fair 4.81 · @3.90
2.98Expected goals
2.03Jagiellonia xG
0.95Polonia Warszawa xG
50%Both score
58%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–010%
1–010%
2–110%
1–110%
3–07%
3–17%

From our goals model: Jagiellonia 2.0 – 1.0 Polonia Warszawa expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultJagiellonia to win ✗66%1.511.62 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win ✓87%1.151.17
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓50%1.99–
Draw no betJagiellonia (draw no bet) ✗76%1.31–
Asian handicapJagiellonia -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗62%1.61–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80%1.25–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓58%1.721.60
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓65%1.53–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓82%1.22–
First team to scoreJagiellonia to score first65%1.55–
Half-time resultJagiellonia ahead at half-time45%2.21–
Half-time / full-timeHT Jagiellonia / FT Jagiellonia40%2.51–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%10.06–

Recent results

Jagiellonia – last 6

LLLWLW
20 Sepvs Legia Warszawa1–3L
16 Sep@ Olympiakos Piraeus1–2L
11 Sep@ Wisla Krakow0–2L
6 Sepvs Slask Wroclaw2–1W
3 Sep@ Lech Poznan1–2L
30 Aug@ Raków Częstochowa5–2W
1.7Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Polonia Warszawa – last 6

WDLWLW
19 Sepvs Chrobry Głogów2–0W
11 Sepvs Polonia Bytom2–2D
5 Sep@ Stal Rzeszów1–2L
2 Sep@ Górnik Polkowice1–0W
29 Augvs Lechia Gdansk2–4L
22 Aug@ Nieciecza3–1W
1.8Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Jagiellonia and Polonia Warszawa.

Jagiellonia vs Polonia Warszawa head-to-head page →

More Friendlies Clubs predictions

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FT Perth Glory1 Adelaide United3 141%2.05X20%3.60239%2.90 1.4–1.4xG GGBoth teams to score 59%@1.55 ✓
FT Arges Pitesti0 Slatina0 160%1.73X22%3.60218%3.90 2.5–1.4xG 1XArges Pitesti or draw 82%@1.22 ✓
FT Chindia Targoviste1 Petrolul Ploiesti0 123%3.20X16%3.75261%1.85 1.4–2.4xG GGBoth teams to score 70%@1.44 ✗
FT Lokomotiv2 FC Orenburg0 148%2.13X21%3.58231%3.06 1.6–1.3xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 77%@1.20 ✓
FT Slavia Sofia2 Botev Vratsa1 143%2.62X20%3.60237%2.15 1.6–1.4xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 55%@1.80 ✓
FT Zaglebie Lubin1 Miedz Legnica0 162%1.70X23%3.50215%4.10 2.0–0.9xG 1Zaglebie Lubin to win 62%@1.70 ✓
FT Chrobry Głogów1 Warta Poznań3 140%2.40X23%3.20237%2.60 2.1–2.0xG GGBoth teams to score 70%@1.50 ✓
FT FK Zalgiris Vilnius0 Panevėžys2 163%1.80X16%4.00221%3.25 2.1–1.1xG 1FK Zalgiris Vilnius to win 63%@1.80 ✗

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Jagiellonia vs Polonia Warszawa?

Our pick is Jagiellonia to win with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.

Who will win Jagiellonia vs Polonia Warszawa?

On our numbers Jagiellonia have a 66% chance of winning, the draw 13% and Polonia Warszawa 21%.

How many goals will there be in Jagiellonia vs Polonia Warszawa?

We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Jagiellonia vs Polonia Warszawa?

Our predicted score is Jagiellonia 2–0 Polonia Warszawa, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.

When is Jagiellonia vs Polonia Warszawa?

Jagiellonia vs Polonia Warszawa (Friendlies Clubs) kicks off on Saturday 3 October 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.