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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

FC Winterthur v FC Basel 1893: numbers & prediction

7–3
FT
FC Winterthur 19%Draw 17%FC Basel 1893 63% Expected goals 1.39 – 2.57
73%
Betarazi pick

Over 2.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.37 · bookmaker 1.33 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.33Odds

Picks by market

ResultFC Basel 1893 to win ✗63% · @1.36
Double chanceEither team to win ✓83% · @1.11
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · fair 1.80
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓73% · @1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.41

FC Winterthur vs FC Basel 1893: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

FC Basel 1893 travel to face FC Winterthur on Saturday 3 October in the Friendlies Clubs – the ball rolls at 15:00 WAT.

Current form

FC Winterthur, last 5: WWWDD Their latest outing: 2–1 win over FC Aarau, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.0 a game lately. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

FC Basel 1893, last 5: LWLLD Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to FC ST. Gallen, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 2.0 goals per game.

Momentum favours FC Winterthur, collecting 2.3 points per game to 1.2 for FC Basel 1893.

Head to head

When they last met (11 Jul 2026) it ended FC Basel 1893 2–2 FC Winterthur. The last 2 head-to-heads: FC Winterthur 0 wins, FC Basel 1893 1, draws 1. Those games averaged 3.0 goals and saw GG land 1 time.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give FC Winterthur 1.4 xG, FC Basel 1893 2.6 xG – a total near 4.0. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 73% and GG at 56%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – FC Winterthur 19%, draw 17%, FC Basel 1893 63%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (73%, odds 1.33). Most likely score in line with that pick: FC Winterthur 1–2 FC Basel 1893. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

FC Winterthur19%fair 5.15 · @5.50
Draw17%fair 5.74 · @5.00
FC Basel 189363%fair 1.58 · @1.36
3.96Expected goals
1.39FC Winterthur xG
2.57FC Basel 1893 xG
56%Both score
73%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–29%
1–37%
1–17%
0–26%
2–26%
0–35%

From our goals model: FC Winterthur 1.4 – 2.6 FC Basel 1893 expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultFC Basel 1893 to win ✗63%1.581.36
Double chanceEither team to win ✓83%1.211.11
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓56%1.80–
Draw no betFC Basel 1893 (draw no bet) ✗76%1.31–
Asian handicapFC Basel 1893 -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗63%1.59–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓91%1.10–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓73%1.371.33
Over/under 3.5 goalsOver 3.5 goals ✓56%1.79–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗64%1.57–
First team to scoreFC Basel 1893 to score first ✗64%1.57–
Half-time resultFC Basel 1893 ahead at half-time ✗48%2.08–
Half-time / full-timeHT FC Basel 1893 / FT FC Basel 1893 ✗42%2.40–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9%11.41–

Recent results

FC Winterthur – last 6

WWWDDW
18 Sepvs FC Aarau2–1W
11 Sep@ Étoile Carouge1–0W
4 Sepvs Neuchatel Xamax FC4–0W
1 Sep@ Stade Nyonnais2–2D
28 Augvs Stade Lausanne-Ouchy1–1D
21 Aug@ Rapperswil2–0W
2.0Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

FC Basel 1893 – last 6

LWLLDW
20 Sepvs FC ST. Gallen1–3L
13 Sep@ FC Luzern4–2W
6 Sepvs FC Lugano1–3L
3 Sepvs FC Sion1–2L
29 Aug@ BSC Young Boys3–3D
22 Aug@ FC Zurich2–1W
2.0Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5

Head to head

11 Jul 2026FC Basel 1893 v FC Winterthur2–2
22 Mar 2026FC Winterthur v FC Basel 18930–2
FC Winterthur vs FC Basel 1893 head-to-head page →

More Friendlies Clubs predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for FC Winterthur vs FC Basel 1893?

Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.

Who will win FC Winterthur vs FC Basel 1893?

On our numbers FC Winterthur have a 19% chance of winning, the draw 17% and FC Basel 1893 63%.

How many goals will there be in FC Winterthur vs FC Basel 1893?

We expect about 4.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 73% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for FC Winterthur vs FC Basel 1893?

Our predicted score is FC Winterthur 1–2 FC Basel 1893, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.0 goals in total.

When is FC Winterthur vs FC Basel 1893?

FC Winterthur vs FC Basel 1893 (Friendlies Clubs) kicks off on Saturday 3 October 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.