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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Hastings United v Waltham Abbey: numbers & prediction

FA Trophy · England

Hastings United

WDWDW
2–3
FT

Waltham Abbey

WLDWW
Hastings United 40%Draw 18%Waltham Abbey 42% Expected goals 1.73 – 1.79
69%
Betarazi pick

Over 2.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.46 · bookmaker 1.36 · Won ✓

7/10Rating
1.36Odds
2

Value bet: Waltham Abbey to win @ 2.60 – our chance 42% vs 38% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Picks by market

ResultWaltham Abbey to win ✓42% · @2.60
Double chanceEither team to win ✓82% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓58% · fair 1.73
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓69% · @1.36
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 12.21

Hastings United vs Waltham Abbey: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Waltham Abbey travel to face Hastings United on Saturday 24 October in the FA Trophy – the ball rolls at 15:00 WAT.

Current form

Hastings United, last 5: WDWDW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Dulwich Hamlet, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.

Waltham Abbey, last 5: WLDWW Their latest outing: 7–1 win over Croydon Athletic, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 3.2 goals per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Hastings United 1.7 xG, Waltham Abbey 1.8 xG – a total near 3.5. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 69% and GG at 58%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Hastings United 40%, draw 18%, Waltham Abbey 42%.
  • Price worth noting: Waltham Abbey to win @2.60 – the bookmaker implies 38%, our ratings say 42%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (69%, odds 1.36). Most likely score in line with that pick: Hastings United 1–2 Waltham Abbey. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Hastings United40%fair 2.52 · @2.10
Draw18%fair 5.44 · @4.00
Waltham Abbey42%fair 2.38 · @2.60
3.52Expected goals
1.73Hastings United xG
1.79Waltham Abbey xG
58%Both score
69%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–19%
1–28%
2–18%
2–27%
0–15%
1–05%

From our goals model: Hastings United 1.7 – 1.8 Waltham Abbey expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultWaltham Abbey to win ✓42%2.382.60 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win ✓82%1.231.17
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓58%1.73–
Draw no betWaltham Abbey (draw no bet) ✓51%1.94–
Asian handicapHastings United +1 (Asian handicap)74%1.35–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓87%1.15–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓69%1.461.36
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗53%1.88–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗72%1.39–
First team to scoreWaltham Abbey to score first ✓49%2.03–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗36%2.78–
Half-time / full-timeHT Waltham Abbey / FT Waltham Abbey ✓24%4.14–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8%12.21–

Recent results

Hastings United – last 6

WDWDWL
26 Sepvs Dulwich Hamlet2–1W
12 Sepvs Bognor Regis Town1–1D
29 Augvs Hendon2–1W
1 Augvs Hashtag United0–0D
28 Jul@ Eastbourne United4–0W
25 Jul@ Concord Rangers0–4L
1.5Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Waltham Abbey – last 6

WLDWWW
26 Sepvs Croydon Athletic7–1W
22 Sep@ Dagenham & Redbridge0–3L
19 Sepvs Dagenham & Redbridge1–1D
12 Sep@ Fakenham Town2–0W
5 Sep@ Brantham Athletic7–0W
29 Augvs Bowers & Pitsea2–0W
3.2Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Hastings United and Waltham Abbey.

Hastings United vs Waltham Abbey head-to-head page →

More FA Trophy predictions

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FT Anstey Nomads0 Bromsgrove Sporting1 137%3.20X22%3.30241%2.00 1.3–1.4xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 51%@1.80 ✗
FT Ashton United1 Redcar Athletic0 124%3.00X14%3.75262%1.95 1.0–1.9xG 2Redcar Athletic to win 62%@1.95 ✗
FT Aveley2 Carshalton Athletic1 147%2.00X20%3.75233%2.90 2.1–1.7xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 67%@1.57 ✓
FT Avro2 Hyde United1 162%1.55X24%4.00214%4.50 1.8–0.7xG 1Avro to win 62%@1.55 ✓
FT Bath City0 Frome Town0 Pens 148%2.20X20%3.60232%2.62 1.6–1.3xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 55%@1.75 ✗
FT Berkhamsted1 Cray Wanderers2 138%2.80X20%3.60242%2.10 1.6–1.7xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 63%@1.53 ✓
FT Bridlington Town2 Curzon Ashton2 Pens 122%3.75X16%3.75262%1.73 1.3–2.3xG 2Curzon Ashton to win 62%@1.73 ✗
FT Dartford3 Three Bridges2 165%1.53X17%4.50218%4.50 2.4–1.2xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 69%@1.36 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Hastings United vs Waltham Abbey?

Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.

Who will win Hastings United vs Waltham Abbey?

On our numbers Hastings United have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Waltham Abbey 42%.

How many goals will there be in Hastings United vs Waltham Abbey?

We expect about 3.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 69% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Hastings United vs Waltham Abbey?

Our predicted score is Hastings United 1–2 Waltham Abbey, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.5 goals in total.

When is Hastings United vs Waltham Abbey?

Hastings United vs Waltham Abbey (FA Trophy) kicks off on Saturday 24 October 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.