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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Takeley v Chertsey Town: numbers & prediction

FA Trophy · England

Takeley

WWWL
0–4
FT

Chertsey Town

WLDDW
Takeley 18%Draw 19%Chertsey Town 62% Expected goals 0.99 – 2.04
62%
Betarazi pick

Chertsey Town to win

Good pick · fair odds 1.61 · bookmaker 1.62 · Won ✓

5/10Rating
1.62Odds

Picks by market

ResultChertsey Town to win ✓62% · @1.62
Double chanceChertsey Town or draw ✓82% · @1.17
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓52% · fair 1.94
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81% · fair 1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–3 ✗7% · fair 14.68

Takeley vs Chertsey Town: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Takeley welcome Chertsey Town for a FA Trophy fixture on Saturday 24 October (15:00 WAT).

Current form

Takeley, last 4: WWWL Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Hitchin Town, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Chertsey Town, last 5: WLDDW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Evesham United, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Takeley, collecting 2.3 points per game to 1.3 for Chertsey Town.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Takeley 1.0 xG, Chertsey Town 2.0 xG – a total near 3.0. That is an open game on paper: 62% for three or more goals, 48% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Takeley 18%, draw 19%, Chertsey Town 62%.
  • Lower-risk option: Chertsey Town or draw (82%) at 1.17.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Chertsey Town to win (62%, odds 1.62). Most likely score in line with that pick: Takeley 0–2 Chertsey Town. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Takeley18%fair 5.46 · @4.00
Draw19%fair 5.15 · @4.00
Chertsey Town62%fair 1.61 · @1.62
3.04Expected goals
0.99Takeley xG
2.04Chertsey Town xG
48%Both score
62%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–210%
1–210%
0–110%
1–110%
0–37%
1–37%

From our goals model: Takeley 1.0 – 2.0 Chertsey Town expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultChertsey Town to win ✓62%1.611.62
Double chanceChertsey Town or draw ✓82%1.221.17
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✓52%1.94–
Draw no betChertsey Town (draw no bet) ✓77%1.29–
Asian handicapChertsey Town -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓62%1.62–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81%1.24–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓62%1.631.44
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗64%1.57–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓81%1.24–
First team to scoreChertsey Town to score first ✓64%1.56–
Half-time resultChertsey Town ahead at half-time ✓45%2.22–
Half-time / full-timeHT Chertsey Town / FT Chertsey Town ✓39%2.54–
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–3 ✗7%14.68–

Recent results

Takeley – last 4

WWWL
26 Sepvs Hitchin Town2–0W
12 Sepvs Aylesbury United2–0W
29 Aug@ London Lions2–0W
6 Aprvs Cambridge City1–2L
1.8Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
25%Both scored
25%Over 2.5

Chertsey Town – last 6

WLDDWL
20 Octvs Evesham United2–0W
17 Oct@ Plymouth Parkway0–2L
13 Oct@ Hanwell Town1–1D
10 Octvs Chippenham Town2–2D
3 Oct@ Sheppey United2–0W
29 Sepvs Poole Town1–3L
1.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Takeley and Chertsey Town.

Takeley vs Chertsey Town head-to-head page →

More FA Trophy predictions

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FT Anstey Nomads0 Bromsgrove Sporting1 137%3.20X22%3.30241%2.00 1.3–1.4xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 51%@1.80 ✗
FT Ashton United1 Redcar Athletic0 124%3.00X14%3.75262%1.95 1.0–1.9xG 2Redcar Athletic to win 62%@1.95 ✗
FT Aveley2 Carshalton Athletic1 147%2.00X20%3.75233%2.90 2.1–1.7xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 67%@1.57 ✓
FT Avro2 Hyde United1 162%1.55X24%4.00214%4.50 1.8–0.7xG 1Avro to win 62%@1.55 ✓
FT Bath City0 Frome Town0 Pens 148%2.20X20%3.60232%2.62 1.6–1.3xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 55%@1.75 ✗
FT Berkhamsted1 Cray Wanderers2 138%2.80X20%3.60242%2.10 1.6–1.7xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 63%@1.53 ✓
FT Bridlington Town2 Curzon Ashton2 Pens 122%3.75X16%3.75262%1.73 1.3–2.3xG 2Curzon Ashton to win 62%@1.73 ✗
FT Dartford3 Three Bridges2 165%1.53X17%4.50218%4.50 2.4–1.2xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 69%@1.36 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Takeley vs Chertsey Town?

Our pick is Chertsey Town to win with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.

Who will win Takeley vs Chertsey Town?

On our numbers Takeley have a 18% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Chertsey Town 62%.

How many goals will there be in Takeley vs Chertsey Town?

We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 62% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Takeley vs Chertsey Town?

Our predicted score is Takeley 0–2 Chertsey Town, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.

When is Takeley vs Chertsey Town?

Takeley vs Chertsey Town (FA Trophy) kicks off on Saturday 24 October 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.