Deportivo Maldonado vs Liverpool Montevideo: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Saturday 10 October the Primera División Apertura brings Deportivo Maldonado against Liverpool Montevideo at Estadio Domingo Burgueño Miguel. Kick-off: 00:00 WAT. In the table, Deportivo Maldonado are 4th, among the top four, on 22 points after 13 matches; Liverpool Montevideo are 1st (leading the league) with 30.
Current form
Deportivo Maldonado, last 5: WWWWL Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Central Espanol, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 2.2 goals per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Liverpool Montevideo, last 5: WWWDL Their latest outing: 3–2 win over Progreso, at home. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.0 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Deportivo Maldonado 1.3 xG, Liverpool Montevideo 1.1 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 43%, GG 55%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Deportivo Maldonado 42%, draw 24%, Liverpool Montevideo 34%.
GG/NG: GG (55%) at 1.80.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (55%, odds 1.80). Most likely score in line with that pick: Deportivo Maldonado 1–1 Liverpool Montevideo. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Deportivo Maldonado42%fair 2.37 · @2.45
Draw24%fair 4.13 · @3.00
Liverpool Montevideo34%fair 2.98 · @2.88
2.39Expected goals
1.28Deportivo Maldonado xG
1.11Liverpool Montevideo xG
55%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–012%
0–110%
0–09%
2–18%
2–08%
From our goals model: Deportivo Maldonado 1.3 – 1.1 Liverpool Montevideo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Deportivo Maldonado to win✗
42%
2.37
2.45
Double chance
Either team to win✗
76%
1.32
1.36
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
55%
1.83
1.80
Draw no bet
Deportivo Maldonado (draw no bet)
56%
1.80
–
Asian handicap
Liverpool Montevideo +1 (Asian handicap)✓
77%
1.30
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
69%
1.45
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
57%
1.75
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
91%
1.10
–
First team to score
Deportivo Maldonado to score first
49%
2.05
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
45%
2.21
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Deportivo Maldonado / FT Deportivo Maldonado✗
23%
4.29
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
11.98
–
Recent results
Deportivo Maldonado – last 6
WWWWLW
3 Oct
vs Central Espanol
3–0
W
27 Sep
@ Atletico Torque
2–0
W
24 Sep
@ Cerro
2–1
W
19 Sep
vs Juventud
2–0
W
13 Sep
@ Defensor Sporting
0–1
L
10 Sep
vs Wanderers
4–1
W
2.2Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Liverpool Montevideo – last 6
WWWDLW
3 Oct
vs Progreso
3–2
W
27 Sep
@ Central Espanol
2–1
W
23 Sep
vs Colón
3–0
W
21 Sep
vs Racing Montevideo
0–0
D
14 Sep
@ Atletico Torque
1–3
L
6 Sep
vs Boston River
1–0
W
1.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Deportivo Maldonado and Liverpool Montevideo.
What is the prediction for Deportivo Maldonado vs Liverpool Montevideo?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 55% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.80.
Who will win Deportivo Maldonado vs Liverpool Montevideo?
On our numbers Deportivo Maldonado have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Liverpool Montevideo 34%.
How many goals will there be in Deportivo Maldonado vs Liverpool Montevideo?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Deportivo Maldonado vs Liverpool Montevideo?
Our predicted score is Deportivo Maldonado 1–1 Liverpool Montevideo, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Deportivo Maldonado vs Liverpool Montevideo?
Deportivo Maldonado vs Liverpool Montevideo (Primera División Apertura) kicks off on Saturday 10 October 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Domingo Burgueño Miguel.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
