Juventud vs Racing Montevideo: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Juventud welcome Racing Montevideo to Estadio Parque Artigas for a Primera División Apertura fixture on Sunday 11 October (15:00 WAT). In the table, Juventud are 8th, upper half, on 18 points after 13 matches; Racing Montevideo are 6th (upper half) with 19. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Juventud, last 5: WDDWL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Plaza Colonia, away. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Racing Montevideo, last 5: LLDLW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Penarol, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Juventud, collecting 1.8 points per game to 0.7 for Racing Montevideo.
Head to head
When they last met (17 Sep 2026) it ended Juventud 3–0 Racing Montevideo.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Juventud 1.2 xG, Racing Montevideo 1.0 xG – a total near 2.2. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 63%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Juventud 42%, draw 24%, Racing Montevideo 34%.
GG/NG: GG (55%) at 1.75.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (55%, odds 1.75). Most likely score in line with that pick: Juventud 1–1 Racing Montevideo. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Juventud42%fair 2.37 · @2.50
Draw24%fair 4.16 · @3.00
Racing Montevideo34%fair 2.96 · @2.70
2.18Expected goals
1.17Juventud xG
1.01Racing Montevideo xG
55%Both score
37%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–013%
0–111%
0–011%
2–18%
2–08%
From our goals model: Juventud 1.2 – 1.0 Racing Montevideo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Juventud vs Racing Montevideo?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 55% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.
Who will win Juventud vs Racing Montevideo?
On our numbers Juventud have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Racing Montevideo 34%.
How many goals will there be in Juventud vs Racing Montevideo?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 37% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Juventud vs Racing Montevideo?
Our predicted score is Juventud 1–1 Racing Montevideo, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Juventud vs Racing Montevideo?
Juventud vs Racing Montevideo (Primera División Apertura) kicks off on Sunday 11 October 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Parque Artigas.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.