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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Juventud v Racing Montevideo: numbers & prediction

Primera División Apertura · Uruguay · Estadio Parque Artigas
2–0
FT
Juventud 42%Draw 24%Racing Montevideo 34% Expected goals 1.17 – 1.01
55%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Fair pick · fair odds 1.82 · bookmaker 1.75 · Lost ✗

4/10Rating
1.75Odds

Picks by market

ResultJuventud to win ✓42% · @2.50
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.35
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗55% · @1.75
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓82% · fair 1.21
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.77

Juventud vs Racing Montevideo: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Juventud welcome Racing Montevideo to Estadio Parque Artigas for a Primera División Apertura fixture on Sunday 11 October (15:00 WAT). In the table, Juventud are 8th, upper half, on 18 points after 13 matches; Racing Montevideo are 6th (upper half) with 19. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Juventud, last 5: WDDWL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Plaza Colonia, away. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.

Racing Montevideo, last 5: LLDLW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Penarol, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Juventud, collecting 1.8 points per game to 0.7 for Racing Montevideo.

Head to head

When they last met (17 Sep 2026) it ended Juventud 3–0 Racing Montevideo.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Juventud 1.2 xG, Racing Montevideo 1.0 xG – a total near 2.2. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 63%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Juventud 42%, draw 24%, Racing Montevideo 34%.
  • GG/NG: GG (55%) at 1.75.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (55%, odds 1.75). Most likely score in line with that pick: Juventud 1–1 Racing Montevideo. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Juventud42%fair 2.37 · @2.50
Draw24%fair 4.16 · @3.00
Racing Montevideo34%fair 2.96 · @2.70
2.18Expected goals
1.17Juventud xG
1.01Racing Montevideo xG
55%Both score
37%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%
1–013%
0–111%
0–011%
2–18%
2–08%

From our goals model: Juventud 1.2 – 1.0 Racing Montevideo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultJuventud to win ✓42%2.372.50 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76%1.321.35
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗55%1.821.75
Draw no betJuventud (draw no bet) ✓56%1.80–
Asian handicapRacing Montevideo +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗60%1.66–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓64%1.56–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓63%1.59–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓82%1.21–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓93%1.08–
First team to scoreJuventud to score first ✓48%2.10–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗48%2.10–
Half-time / full-timeHT Juventud / FT Juventud ✓22%4.45–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8%12.77–

Recent results

Juventud – last 6

WDDWLW
8 Oct@ Plaza Colonia1–0W
4 Oct@ Boston River0–0D
27 Sepvs Cerro0–0D
20 Sep@ Albion FC3–1W
19 Sep@ Deportivo Maldonado0–2L
17 Sepvs Racing Montevideo3–0W
1.2Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Racing Montevideo – last 6

LLDLWL
4 Octvs Penarol0–1L
26 Sep@ Progreso1–2L
21 Sep@ Liverpool Montevideo0–0D
17 Sep@ Juventud0–3L
12 Sepvs Boston River3–2W
9 Sepvs Central Espanol2–4L
1.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

17 Sep 2026Juventud v Racing Montevideo3–0
Juventud vs Racing Montevideo head-to-head page →

Primera División Apertura table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Penarol351997+2465
2Deportivo Maldonado351898+2263
3Atletico Torque3519610+1863
4Club Nacional3519412+1161
5Racing Montevideo3516127+1460
6Liverpool Montevideo3516118+1659
7Wanderers3514912-251
8Albion FC3513814+347
9Juventud35101114-641
10Central Espanol3511816-1341
11Defensor Sporting3591214-839
12Cerro Largo3591016-837
13Boston River3510718-1337
14Cerro3510718-2437
15Progreso3510520-1835
16Danubio3561415-1632

More Primera División Apertura predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Juventud vs Racing Montevideo?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 55% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.

Who will win Juventud vs Racing Montevideo?

On our numbers Juventud have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Racing Montevideo 34%.

How many goals will there be in Juventud vs Racing Montevideo?

We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 37% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Juventud vs Racing Montevideo?

Our predicted score is Juventud 1–1 Racing Montevideo, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.

When is Juventud vs Racing Montevideo?

Juventud vs Racing Montevideo (Primera División Apertura) kicks off on Sunday 11 October 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Parque Artigas.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.