Value bet: Albion FC to win @ 2.90 – our chance 40% vs 34% implied by the price (edge +16%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultAlbion FC to win ✓40% · @2.90
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.36
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗52% · @1.83
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78% · fair 1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 12.36
Cerro Largo vs Albion FC: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
19:00 WAT, Sunday 11 October: Cerro Largo v Albion FC in the Primera División Apertura, played at Estadio Arquitecto Antonio Eleuterio Ubilla. In the table, Cerro Largo are 15th, in the drop zone, on 9 points after 13 matches; Albion FC are 12th (lower half) with 13.
Current form
Cerro Largo, last 5: LWLDD Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Danubio, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Albion FC, last 5: WLLDL Their latest outing: 3–2 win over Defensor Sporting, at home. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.
Head to head
When they last met (5 Apr 2026) it ended Albion FC 2–2 Cerro Largo.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Cerro Largo 1.2 xG, Albion FC 1.2 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 43%, GG 52%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Cerro Largo 36%, draw 24%, Albion FC 40%.
GG/NG: GG (52%) at 1.83.
Price worth noting: Albion FC to win @2.90 – the bookmaker implies 34%, our ratings say 40%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (52%, odds 1.83). Most likely score in line with that pick: Cerro Largo 1–1 Albion FC. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Cerro Largo36%fair 2.81 · @2.40
Draw24%fair 4.09 · @2.90
Albion FC40%fair 2.51 · @2.90
2.39Expected goals
1.15Cerro Largo xG
1.24Albion FC xG
52%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
0–111%
1–011%
0–09%
1–28%
2–18%
From our goals model: Cerro Largo 1.2 – 1.2 Albion FC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Cerro Largo vs Albion FC?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 52% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.83.
Who will win Cerro Largo vs Albion FC?
On our numbers Cerro Largo have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Albion FC 40%.
How many goals will there be in Cerro Largo vs Albion FC?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Cerro Largo vs Albion FC?
Our predicted score is Cerro Largo 1–1 Albion FC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Cerro Largo vs Albion FC?
Cerro Largo vs Albion FC (Primera División Apertura) kicks off on Sunday 11 October 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Arquitecto Antonio Eleuterio Ubilla.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.