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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Cerro Largo v Albion FC: numbers & prediction

Primera División Apertura · Uruguay · Estadio Arquitecto Antonio Eleuterio Ubilla
0–1
FT
Cerro Largo 36%Draw 24%Albion FC 40% Expected goals 1.15 – 1.24
52%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Fair pick · fair odds 1.92 · bookmaker 1.83 · Lost ✗

3/10Rating
1.83Odds
2

Value bet: Albion FC to win @ 2.90 – our chance 40% vs 34% implied by the price (edge +16%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Picks by market

ResultAlbion FC to win ✓40% · @2.90
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.36
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗52% · @1.83
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78% · fair 1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 12.36

Cerro Largo vs Albion FC: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

19:00 WAT, Sunday 11 October: Cerro Largo v Albion FC in the Primera División Apertura, played at Estadio Arquitecto Antonio Eleuterio Ubilla. In the table, Cerro Largo are 15th, in the drop zone, on 9 points after 13 matches; Albion FC are 12th (lower half) with 13.

Current form

Cerro Largo, last 5: LWLDD Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Danubio, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.

Albion FC, last 5: WLLDL Their latest outing: 3–2 win over Defensor Sporting, at home. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.

Head to head

When they last met (5 Apr 2026) it ended Albion FC 2–2 Cerro Largo.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Cerro Largo 1.2 xG, Albion FC 1.2 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 43%, GG 52%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Cerro Largo 36%, draw 24%, Albion FC 40%.
  • GG/NG: GG (52%) at 1.83.
  • Price worth noting: Albion FC to win @2.90 – the bookmaker implies 34%, our ratings say 40%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (52%, odds 1.83). Most likely score in line with that pick: Cerro Largo 1–1 Albion FC. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Cerro Largo36%fair 2.81 · @2.40
Draw24%fair 4.09 · @2.90
Albion FC40%fair 2.51 · @2.90
2.39Expected goals
1.15Cerro Largo xG
1.24Albion FC xG
52%Both score
43%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%
0–111%
1–011%
0–09%
1–28%
2–18%

From our goals model: Cerro Largo 1.2 – 1.2 Albion FC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultAlbion FC to win ✓40%2.512.90 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76%1.321.36
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗52%1.921.83
Draw no betAlbion FC (draw no bet) ✓53%1.89–
Asian handicapCerro Largo +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗62%1.62–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗69%1.45–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓57%1.75–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78%1.28–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓91%1.10–
First team to scoreAlbion FC to score first ✓47%2.12–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓45%2.21–
Half-time / full-timeHT Albion FC / FT Albion FC ✗22%4.57–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8%12.36–

Recent results

Cerro Largo – last 6

LWLDDL
4 Oct@ Danubio1–2L
30 Sepvs Rentistas1–0W
26 Sepvs Club Nacional0–2L
13 Sepvs Central Espanol0–0D
9 Sepvs Defensor Sporting1–1D
4 Sep@ Atletico Torque1–2L
0.7Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Albion FC – last 6

WLLDLL
3 Octvs Defensor Sporting3–2W
29 Sep@ Wanderers1–2L
20 Sepvs Juventud1–3L
16 Sepvs CA River Plate0–0D
13 Sep@ Penarol1–3L
7 Sepvs Progreso0–1L
1.0Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

5 Apr 2026Albion FC v Cerro Largo2–2
Cerro Largo vs Albion FC head-to-head page →

Primera División Apertura table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Penarol351997+2465
2Deportivo Maldonado351898+2263
3Atletico Torque3519610+1863
4Club Nacional3519412+1161
5Racing Montevideo3516127+1460
6Liverpool Montevideo3516118+1659
7Wanderers3514912-251
8Albion FC3513814+347
9Juventud35101114-641
10Central Espanol3511816-1341
11Defensor Sporting3591214-839
12Cerro Largo3591016-837
13Boston River3510718-1337
14Cerro3510718-2437
15Progreso3510520-1835
16Danubio3561415-1632

More Primera División Apertura predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Cerro Largo vs Albion FC?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 52% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.83.

Who will win Cerro Largo vs Albion FC?

On our numbers Cerro Largo have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Albion FC 40%.

How many goals will there be in Cerro Largo vs Albion FC?

We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Cerro Largo vs Albion FC?

Our predicted score is Cerro Largo 1–1 Albion FC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.

When is Cerro Largo vs Albion FC?

Cerro Largo vs Albion FC (Primera División Apertura) kicks off on Sunday 11 October 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Arquitecto Antonio Eleuterio Ubilla.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.