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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Fakel v FC Vitebsk: numbers & prediction

Friendlies Clubs · World

Fakel

LDLDL
1–0
FT

FC Vitebsk

WDLWW
Fakel 59%Draw 23%FC Vitebsk 18% Expected goals 2.01 – 1.02
78%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.29 · bookmaker 1.24 · Lost ✗

9/10Rating
1.24Odds

Picks by market

ResultFakel to win ✓59% · @1.66
Double chanceFakel or draw ✓82% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗58% · @1.75
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗78% · @1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.04

Fakel vs FC Vitebsk: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Saturday 3 October the Friendlies Clubs brings Fakel against FC Vitebsk. Kick-off: 12:30 WAT.

Current form

Fakel, last 5: LDLDL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Spartak Moscow, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.

FC Vitebsk, last 5: WDLWW Their latest outing: 6–0 win over Torpedo Zhodino, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours FC Vitebsk, collecting 1.7 points per game to 0.5 for Fakel.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Fakel 2.0 xG, FC Vitebsk 1.0 xG – a total near 3.0. That is an open game on paper: 55% for three or more goals, 58% for GG.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Fakel 59%, draw 23%, FC Vitebsk 18%.
  • Lower-risk option: Fakel or draw (82%) at 1.17.
  • GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.75.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (78%, odds 1.24). Most likely score in line with that pick: Fakel 2–1 FC Vitebsk. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Fakel59%fair 1.69 · @1.66
Draw23%fair 4.34 · @4.03
FC Vitebsk18%fair 5.67 · @4.47
3.03Expected goals
2.01Fakel xG
1.02FC Vitebsk xG
58%Both score
55%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–110%
1–110%
2–010%
1–010%
3–17%
3–07%

From our goals model: Fakel 2.0 – 1.0 FC Vitebsk expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultFakel to win ✓59%1.691.66
Double chanceFakel or draw ✓82%1.211.17
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗58%1.731.75
Draw no betFakel (draw no bet) ✓77%1.30–
Asian handicapFakel -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓60%1.66–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗78%1.291.24
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗55%1.801.77
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓66%1.521.39
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓82%1.221.10
First team to scoreFakel to score first ✓63%1.58–
Half-time resultFakel ahead at half-time ✓44%2.26–
Half-time / full-timeHT Fakel / FT Fakel ✓38%2.61–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%10.04–

Recent results

Fakel – last 6

LDLDLD
16 Sep@ Spartak Moscow0–1L
12 Sepvs Baltika2–2D
5 Sep@ FC Rostov1–3L
1 Sepvs FC Krasnodar1–1D
29 Augvs Zenit0–1L
22 Augvs FC Orenburg0–0D
0.7Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

FC Vitebsk – last 6

WDLWWL
20 Sepvs Torpedo Zhodino6–0W
12 Sepvs Belshina1–1D
4 Sep@ Slavia Mozyr0–3L
28 Augvs Naftan2–0W
21 Aug@ FC Minsk1–0W
15 Aug@ Bate Borisov0–1L
1.7Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Fakel and FC Vitebsk.

Fakel vs FC Vitebsk head-to-head page →

More Friendlies Clubs predictions

League hub
FT Perth Glory1 Adelaide United3 141%2.05X20%3.60239%2.90 1.4–1.4xG GGBoth teams to score 59%@1.55 ✓
FT Arges Pitesti0 Slatina0 160%1.73X22%3.60218%3.90 2.5–1.4xG 1XArges Pitesti or draw 82%@1.22 ✓
FT Chindia Targoviste1 Petrolul Ploiesti0 123%3.20X16%3.75261%1.85 1.4–2.4xG GGBoth teams to score 70%@1.44 ✗
FT Lokomotiv2 FC Orenburg0 148%2.13X21%3.58231%3.06 1.6–1.3xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 77%@1.20 ✓
FT Slavia Sofia2 Botev Vratsa1 143%2.62X20%3.60237%2.15 1.6–1.4xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 55%@1.80 ✓
FT Zaglebie Lubin1 Miedz Legnica0 162%1.70X23%3.50215%4.10 2.0–0.9xG 1Zaglebie Lubin to win 62%@1.70 ✓
FT Chrobry Głogów1 Warta Poznań3 140%2.40X23%3.20237%2.60 2.1–2.0xG GGBoth teams to score 70%@1.50 ✓
FT FK Zalgiris Vilnius0 Panevėžys2 163%1.80X16%4.00221%3.25 2.1–1.1xG 1FK Zalgiris Vilnius to win 63%@1.80 ✗

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Fakel vs FC Vitebsk?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.24.

Who will win Fakel vs FC Vitebsk?

On our numbers Fakel have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 23% and FC Vitebsk 18%.

How many goals will there be in Fakel vs FC Vitebsk?

We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Fakel vs FC Vitebsk?

Our predicted score is Fakel 2–1 FC Vitebsk, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.

When is Fakel vs FC Vitebsk?

Fakel vs FC Vitebsk (Friendlies Clubs) kicks off on Saturday 3 October 2026 at 12:30 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.