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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Montego Bay United v Dunbeholden: numbers & prediction

Premier League · Jamaica · Wespow Park
1–0
FT
Montego Bay United 67%Draw 18%Dunbeholden 14% Expected goals 1.43 – 0.40
67%
Betarazi pick

Montego Bay United to win

Good pick · fair odds 1.48 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓

6/10Rating
1.20Odds

Picks by market

ResultMontego Bay United to win ✓67% · @1.20
Double chanceMontego Bay United or draw ✓86% · @1.04
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓53% · @1.62
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓72% · fair 1.38
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓23% · fair 4.35

Montego Bay United vs Dunbeholden: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Dunbeholden travel to face Montego Bay United on Sunday 4 October in the Premier League, with Wespow Park the venue – the ball rolls at 21:30 WAT. In the table, Montego Bay United are 4th, among the top four, on 16 points after 9 matches; Dunbeholden are 11th (lower half) with 7.

Current form

Montego Bay United, last 5: WDWLW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Racing United, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.

Dunbeholden, last 5: LLLLW Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Mount Pleasant Academy, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.

Momentum favours Montego Bay United, collecting 1.7 points per game to 0.7 for Dunbeholden.

Head to head

When they last met (18 Mar 2026) it ended Montego Bay United 4–3 Dunbeholden.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Montego Bay United 1.4 xG, Dunbeholden 0.4 xG – a total near 1.8. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 72%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Montego Bay United 67%, draw 18%, Dunbeholden 14%.
  • GG/NG: NG (53%) at 1.62.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Montego Bay United to win (67%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Montego Bay United 1–0 Dunbeholden. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Montego Bay United67%fair 1.48 · @1.20
Draw18%fair 5.44 · @5.50
Dunbeholden14%fair 7.07 · @11.00
1.83Expected goals
1.43Montego Bay United xG
0.40Dunbeholden xG
47%Both score
28%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–023%
2–016%
0–016%
1–19%
3–08%
2–17%

From our goals model: Montego Bay United 1.4 – 0.4 Dunbeholden expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultMontego Bay United to win ✓67%1.481.20
Double chanceMontego Bay United or draw ✓86%1.161.04
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✓53%1.891.62
Draw no betMontego Bay United (draw no bet) ✓83%1.21–
Asian handicapMontego Bay United -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓63%1.58–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗55%1.83–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓72%1.38–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓89%1.13–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓96%1.04–
First team to scoreMontego Bay United to score first ✓66%1.52–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗50%2.01–
Half-time / full-timeHT Montego Bay United / FT Montego Bay United ✓38%2.61–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓23%4.35–

Recent results

Montego Bay United – last 6

WDWLWL
27 Sep@ Racing United1–0W
20 Sepvs Tru-Juice0–0D
13 Sepvs Chapelton2–0W
24 Mayvs Mount Pleasant Academy2–3L
17 May@ Cavalier1–0W
6 May@ Mount Pleasant Academy1–2L
1.2Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Dunbeholden – last 6

LLLLWD
27 Sepvs Mount Pleasant Academy0–2L
22 Sep@ Arnett Gardens0–3L
13 Sepvs Cavalier1–2L
6 May@ Waterhouse0–4L
23 Aprvs Harbour View4–0W
15 Apr@ Racing United0–0D
0.8Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
17%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

18 Mar 2026Montego Bay United v Dunbeholden4–3
Montego Bay United vs Dunbeholden head-to-head page →

Premier League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Tru-Juice9621+1420
2Waterhouse9531+1518
3Racing United9522+817
4Montego Bay United9441+516
5Mount Pleasant Academy8422014
6Arnett Gardens9342+513
7Tivoli Gardens9333+512
8Portmore United7241+410
9Cavalier7313-110
10Chapelton9243-710
11Dunbeholden9216-87
12Molynes United9216-117
13Treasure Beach9135-106
14Humble Lions8026-192

More Premier League predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Montego Bay United vs Dunbeholden?

Our pick is Montego Bay United to win with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.

Who will win Montego Bay United vs Dunbeholden?

On our numbers Montego Bay United have a 67% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Dunbeholden 14%.

How many goals will there be in Montego Bay United vs Dunbeholden?

We expect about 1.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 28% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Montego Bay United vs Dunbeholden?

Our predicted score is Montego Bay United 1–0 Dunbeholden, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.8 goals in total.

When is Montego Bay United vs Dunbeholden?

Montego Bay United vs Dunbeholden (Premier League) kicks off on Sunday 4 October 2026 at 21:30 (West Africa Time) at Wespow Park.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.