Good pick · fair odds 1.54 · bookmaker 1.57 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.57Odds
Picks by market
ResultTreasure Beach to win ✗65% · @1.57
Double chanceTreasure Beach or draw ✓85% · @1.12
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓53% · fair 1.89
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓84% · fair 1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.24
Treasure Beach vs Humble Lions: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Humble Lions travel to face Treasure Beach on Sunday 4 October in the Premier League, with Steths Sports Complex the venue – the ball rolls at 21:30 WAT. In the table, Treasure Beach are 13th, in the drop zone, on 6 points after 9 matches; Humble Lions are 14th (in the drop zone) with 2.
Current form
Treasure Beach, last 5: LDLLW Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Waterhouse, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.
Humble Lions, last 3: LLL Their latest outing: 1–4 defeat to Portmore United, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.3 goals a game.
Momentum favours Treasure Beach, collecting 1.2 points per game to 0.0 for Humble Lions.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Treasure Beach 2.3 xG, Humble Lions 1.0 xG – a total near 3.3. That is an open game on paper: 61% for three or more goals, 53% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Treasure Beach 65%, draw 20%, Humble Lions 15%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Treasure Beach to win (65%, odds 1.57). Most likely score in line with that pick: Treasure Beach 2–1 Humble Lions. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Treasure Beach65%fair 1.54 · @1.57
Draw20%fair 4.97 · @3.75
Humble Lions15%fair 6.62 · @4.75
3.32Expected goals
2.29Treasure Beach xG
1.04Humble Lions xG
53%Both score
61%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–110%
2–09%
1–19%
1–08%
3–17%
3–07%
From our goals model: Treasure Beach 2.3 – 1.0 Humble Lions expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Treasure Beach to win✗
65%
1.54
1.57
Double chance
Treasure Beach or draw✓
85%
1.18
1.12
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
53%
1.89
–
Draw no bet
Treasure Beach (draw no bet)
81%
1.23
–
Asian handicap
Treasure Beach -0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
65%
1.53
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
84%
1.18
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
61%
1.64
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
58%
1.74
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
–
First team to score
Treasure Beach to score first✓
66%
1.51
–
Half-time result
Treasure Beach ahead at half-time✓
48%
2.06
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Treasure Beach / FT Treasure Beach✗
43%
2.33
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.24
–
Recent results
Treasure Beach – last 6
LDLLWW
28 Sep
@ Waterhouse
0–2
L
20 Sep
vs Tivoli Gardens
1–1
D
14 Sep
@ Molynes United
2–3
L
6 May
vs Molynes United
0–2
L
30 Apr
vs Tivoli Gardens
4–2
W
24 Apr
@ Waterhouse
2–1
W
1.5Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Humble Lions – last 3
LLL
27 Sep
@ Portmore United
1–4
L
21 Sep
vs Waterhouse
0–5
L
13 Sep
@ Tivoli Gardens
0–3
L
0.3Scored / game
4.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Treasure Beach and Humble Lions.
What is the prediction for Treasure Beach vs Humble Lions?
Our pick is Treasure Beach to win with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.
Who will win Treasure Beach vs Humble Lions?
On our numbers Treasure Beach have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Humble Lions 15%.
How many goals will there be in Treasure Beach vs Humble Lions?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Treasure Beach vs Humble Lions?
Our predicted score is Treasure Beach 2–1 Humble Lions, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.
When is Treasure Beach vs Humble Lions?
Treasure Beach vs Humble Lions (Premier League) kicks off on Sunday 4 October 2026 at 21:30 (West Africa Time) at Steths Sports Complex.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
