Good pick · fair odds 1.53 · bookmaker 1.57 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.57Odds
Picks by market
ResultUzbekistan U23 to win ✗65% · @1.57
Double chanceUzbekistan U23 or draw ✓86% · @1.17
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗52% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗78% · fair 1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗16% · fair 6.29
China PR U23 vs Uzbekistan U23: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Saturday 3 October the Asian Games brings China PR U23 against Uzbekistan U23 at Toyota Stadium. Kick-off: 07:00 WAT. In the table, China PR U23 are 1st on 5 points after 3 matches; Uzbekistan U23 are 1st with 9.
Current form
China PR U23, last 5: LWDDW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Korea Republic U23, away. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Uzbekistan U23, last 5: DWWWW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Japan U23, at home. Away from home the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 2.3 goals per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Uzbekistan U23, collecting 2.7 points per game to 1.8 for China PR U23.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give China PR U23 0.6 xG, Uzbekistan U23 1.8 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 43%, GG 48%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – China PR U23 14%, draw 20%, Uzbekistan U23 65%.
Lower-risk option: Uzbekistan U23 or draw (86%) at 1.17.
GG/NG: NG (52%) at 1.85.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Uzbekistan U23 to win (65%, odds 1.57 – longer than our fair 1.53, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: China PR U23 0–1 Uzbekistan U23. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
China PR U2314%fair 6.91 · @4.80
Draw20%fair 4.96 · @3.75
Uzbekistan U2365%fair 1.53 · @1.57
2.40Expected goals
0.65China PR U23 xG
1.75Uzbekistan U23 xG
48%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–116%
0–214%
1–110%
0–09%
1–29%
0–38%
From our goals model: China PR U23 0.6 – 1.8 Uzbekistan U23 expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Uzbekistan U23 to win✗
65%
1.53
1.57
Double chance
Uzbekistan U23 or draw✓
86%
1.17
1.17
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
52%
1.92
1.85
Draw no bet
Uzbekistan U23 (draw no bet)
82%
1.22
–
Asian handicap
Uzbekistan U23 -0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
64%
1.56
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
69%
1.45
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
57%
1.76
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
78%
1.28
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
90%
1.11
–
First team to score
Uzbekistan U23 to score first
66%
1.50
–
Half-time result
Uzbekistan U23 ahead at half-time✗
44%
2.25
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Uzbekistan U23 / FT Uzbekistan U23✗
40%
2.49
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
16%
6.29
–
Recent results
China PR U23 – last 6
LWDDWW
30 Sep
@ Korea Republic U23
1–2
L
26 Sep
vs Thailand U23
3–0
W
23 Sep
vs UAE U23
0–0
D
20 Sep
@ Iran U23
0–0
D
16 Sep
vs Korea DPR U23
2–1
W
9 Jun
vs Tajikistan U23
3–0
W
1.5Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Uzbekistan U23 – last 6
DWWWWW
30 Sep
vs Japan U23
1–1
D
25 Sep
vs Saudi Arabia U23
3–0
W
22 Sep
@ Vietnam U23
2–0
W
18 Sep
@ Kuwait U23
2–0
W
15 Sep
vs Philippines U23
5–1
W
8 Jun
@ USA U21
1–0
W
2.3Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between China PR U23 and Uzbekistan U23.
What is the prediction for China PR U23 vs Uzbekistan U23?
Our pick is Uzbekistan U23 to win with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.
Who will win China PR U23 vs Uzbekistan U23?
On our numbers China PR U23 have a 14% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Uzbekistan U23 65%.
How many goals will there be in China PR U23 vs Uzbekistan U23?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for China PR U23 vs Uzbekistan U23?
Our predicted score is China PR U23 0–1 Uzbekistan U23, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is China PR U23 vs Uzbekistan U23?
China PR U23 vs Uzbekistan U23 (Asian Games) kicks off on Saturday 3 October 2026 at 07:00 (West Africa Time) at Toyota Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Korea Republic U231
Japan U230