Good pick · fair odds 1.69 · bookmaker 1.91 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.91Odds
Picks by market
ResultKorea Republic U23 to win ✓39% · @2.38
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.36
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗59% · @1.91
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗83% · fair 1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 11.78
Korea Republic U23 vs Japan U23: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
11:30 WAT, Saturday 3 October: Korea Republic U23 v Japan U23 in the Asian Games, played at Toyota Stadium. In the table, Korea Republic U23 are 1st on 6 points after 2 matches; Japan U23 are 1st with 9. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Korea Republic U23, last 5: WWWWW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Australia U23, away. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 2.8 goals per game.
Japan U23, last 5: DWWWW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Uzbekistan U23, away. The attack is flying at 2.8 goals per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Korea Republic U23 1.6 xG, Japan U23 1.6 xG – a total near 3.2. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 62% and GG at 59%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Korea Republic U23 39%, draw 24%, Japan U23 37%.
GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.91.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (59%, odds 1.91 – longer than our fair 1.69, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Korea Republic U23 1–1 Japan U23. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Korea Republic U2339%fair 2.56 · @2.38
Draw24%fair 4.09 · @2.90
Japan U2337%fair 2.74 · @2.90
3.22Expected goals
1.64Korea Republic U23 xG
1.58Japan U23 xG
59%Both score
62%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–110%
2–18%
1–28%
2–27%
1–07%
0–16%
From our goals model: Korea Republic U23 1.6 – 1.6 Japan U23 expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Korea Republic U23 to win✓
39%
2.56
2.38
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.32
1.36
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
59%
1.69
1.91 ▲
Draw no bet
Korea Republic U23 (draw no bet)✓
52%
1.94
–
Asian handicap
Japan U23 +0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
60%
1.66
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
83%
1.20
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
62%
1.60
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
60%
1.67
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
78%
1.29
–
First team to score
Korea Republic U23 to score first✓
49%
2.05
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
38%
2.63
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Korea Republic U23 / FT Korea Republic U23✗
24%
4.24
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
11.78
–
Recent results
Korea Republic U23 – last 6
WWWWWW
3 Oct
@ Australia U23
2–1
W
30 Sep
vs China PR U23
2–1
W
25 Sep
vs Vietnam U23
4–0
W
22 Sep
vs Saudi Arabia U23
2–0
W
15 Sep
@ Qatar U23
4–1
W
6 Jun
@ Thailand U23
3–2
W
2.8Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Japan U23 – last 5
DWWWW
30 Sep
@ Uzbekistan U23
1–1
D
26 Sep
vs Korea DPR U23
1–0
W
23 Sep
vs Thailand U23
3–0
W
20 Sep
@ Kyrgyz Republic U23
7–0
W
16 Sep
vs Hong Kong U23
2–0
W
2.8Scored / game
0.2Conceded / game
20%Both scored
40%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Korea Republic U23 and Japan U23.
What is the prediction for Korea Republic U23 vs Japan U23?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 59% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.91.
Who will win Korea Republic U23 vs Japan U23?
On our numbers Korea Republic U23 have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Japan U23 37%.
How many goals will there be in Korea Republic U23 vs Japan U23?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 62% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Korea Republic U23 vs Japan U23?
Our predicted score is Korea Republic U23 1–1 Japan U23, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is Korea Republic U23 vs Japan U23?
Korea Republic U23 vs Japan U23 (Asian Games) kicks off on Saturday 3 October 2026 at 11:30 (West Africa Time) at Toyota Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
China PR U232
Uzbekistan U232